Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Canadian Potato Harvest Estimate
A Canadian potato harvest estimate provides a provisional provincial view of production before final statistics are complete. Procurement teams can update coverage as harvested area, yield, digging progress, weather, size, solids, defects, and storage intake become clearer.
Market Data
How to read this market
Canadian potato harvest-estimate data provides a provisional view of harvested production before final statistics are complete. The market object is a provincial production and marketable-supply range built from harvested area, expected yield, abandonment, crop progress, weather, and quality.
Use the estimate to update processor coverage, grower revenue, and storage-intake scenarios as harvest progresses. Separate gross tonnes from specification-ready output by incorporating size, solids, defects, contracts, and intended market.
Data Module
Canadian Potato Harvest Estimate
Market objectprovisional harvested production
Primary measuresproduction and marketable-supply range
Key dimensionsprovince, yield, harvest progress
Commercial useharvest and coverage planning
GeographyCanada by province
Compare withquality, storage intake, contracts
Analysis
Why this matters
Early harvest reports can support a strong national crop while one processing region still has delayed digging or weak quality. Gross production and plant-ready supply can diverge.
Commercial interpretation should preserve provincial and end-use differences and revise the estimate as verified weights and intake quality replace preliminary field reports.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for Canadian growers, processors, procurement teams, lenders, and analysts that need a potato harvest estimate before final production statistics are available. A harvest estimate combines harvested area, expected yield, abandonment, crop progress, weather, and quality to approximate production and marketable supply. MassGain updates the estimate as field and official evidence improves.
The suite compares planted and harvested acreage, digging progress, regional yield reports, weather, disease, size, solids, storage entry, and intended use by province. Processors can estimate contract fulfillment and supplemental needs. Growers can benchmark regional output. Lenders can update crop revenue scenarios. Procurement can distinguish a large gross crop from a smaller specification-ready supply pool.
Harvest estimates are provisional and can change as late fields are lifted, weights are verified, and storage quality becomes clear. MassGain does not guarantee final production. It documents the observation date, assumptions, ranges, and revisions and provides the physical-market context needed to translate estimated tonnes into realistic processing, fresh, seed, and storage availability.
Use Case
Early Canadian harvest reports suggest record production. MassGain shows several provinces have strong yield, but one major processing region has delayed digging and lower solids. Procurement raises the national crop estimate while maintaining a tighter plant-specific usable-supply case.
FAQs
What goes into a potato harvest estimate?
Harvested area, yield, abandonment, digging progress, weather, disease, quality, and verified weights all contribute.
Why can gross harvest exceed usable supply?
Variety, size, solids, defects, storage, contracts, and market channel determine commercial suitability.
How does MassGain update the estimate?
It records dates, evidence, assumptions, provincial ranges, confidence, and revisions as harvest progresses.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.