Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Canadian Potato Yield by Province
Canadian potato yield by province measures production per harvested acre under a consistent source definition. Growers and processors can separate acreage effects from crop performance while testing whether size, solids, defects, and variety mix convert field yield into usable supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
Canadian potato yield-by-province data measures production per harvested acre under a consistent source definition. The market object is provincial yield by crop year, variety or crop use where available, and relevant growing conditions.
Use the data to separate acreage effects from crop-performance effects and to benchmark provincial production. Pair yield with size, dry matter, defects, variety mix, and storage suitability because high field yield can still produce weak processing or premium-fresh output.
Data Module
Canadian Potato Yield by Province
Market objectprovincial yield
Primary measureproduction per harvested area
Key dimensionsprovince, crop year, crop use
Commercial usecrop-performance analysis
Quality contextsize, solids, defects
Compare withmarketable yield and plant recovery
Analysis
Why this matters
High provincial yield can coexist with lower usable value if size, solids, or quality miss buyer specifications. Biological yield and marketable processing yield are not identical.
Commercial interpretation should translate field yield into specification-ready tonnes before using it as a price or coverage signal.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for Canadian growers, processors, lenders, and procurement analysts that need potato yield by province. Yield measures production per harvested acre and helps explain whether output changes came from acreage or crop performance. MassGain adds variety, intended use, weather, soil, irrigation, quality, and market context so provincial averages are not treated as interchangeable.
The suite compares current yield with historical ranges, planted and harvested area, crop progress, disease, temperature, precipitation, and production. Growers can benchmark regional performance. Processors can estimate raw supply and quality risk. Lenders can stress crop revenue. Procurement can determine whether lower provincial yield affects the specific varieties or processing attributes it buys.
A high yield does not automatically mean high marketable or processing-ready output. Size distribution, defects, solids, storage suitability, and product mix matter. MassGain does not provide agronomic advice or guarantee final yield. It provides a transparent framework for interpreting provincial yield and translating it into realistic marketable tonnes and plant-relevant supply.
Use Case
A province reports above-average potato yield, but MassGain shows the crop has smaller size and lower solids than normal. A processor increases its raw-tonnage requirement per finished case and avoids assuming the strong field yield will lower usable cost.
FAQs
How is provincial potato yield calculated?
It divides reported production by harvested area under the source’s stated unit and methodology.
Why can high yield still disappoint processors?
Size, solids, defects, variety mix, and storage quality determine usable processing output.
How does MassGain qualify yield?
It connects yield with acreage, weather, varieties, quality, production, storage, prices, and plant recovery.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.