Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Foodservice Potato Prices
Foodservice potato prices are delivered finished-product prices whose economics include potato inputs, processing, yield, energy, packaging, cold storage, freight, distribution, and service. MassGain supplies the physical-potato market layer so restaurant procurement can test whether supplier adjustments are proportionate to relevant regional commodity movement.
Market Data
How to read this market
Foodservice potato prices are delivered prices for finished potato products whose economics include much more than the underlying commodity. Product format, variety, processing recovery, oil, energy, labor, packaging, cold storage, freight, distributor margin, service level, contract timing, and sourcing region can all influence the invoice price.
MassGain provides the physical-potato market layer needed to interpret those finished prices. Restaurant procurement can compare regional raw-material movement with supplier invoices and cost bridges, distinguish market-supported changes from other components, and track whether contract pricing is lagging or overshooting the potato market.
Data Module
Foodservice potato price context
Finished productfries, hash browns, dehydrated, or other format
Potato inputrelevant physical-market benchmark
Conversionyield, oil, energy, labor, and processing
Packaging and storageproduct and cold-chain requirements
Freight and distributiondelivered service basis
Contract timingwhen market changes reach the invoice
Analysis
Why this matters
A supplier can accurately say that potato prices rose and still overstate the effect on a foodservice item. Raw potatoes are only one input, and processors may have contracted coverage or inventory that delays the increase. The reverse also matters: finished prices may stay elevated after potato pressure eases because other costs or renewal timing have not changed.
MassGain makes the agricultural component observable enough to test that transmission. Procurement can compare magnitude and timing rather than asking only whether the commodity moved. The result is a more precise negotiation about which costs changed, when they entered the supplier's economics, and whether the delivered adjustment is proportionate.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for QSR, restaurant, hospitality, and institutional procurement teams that track foodservice potato prices across frozen, refrigerated, dehydrated, and fresh-cut products. The invoice price for a foodservice item reflects several layers: the underlying potato market, variety and quality requirements, processing recovery, labor and energy, packaging, cold storage, freight, distributor margins, and service commitments. MassGain’s potato data suite helps buyers isolate the physical potato component and understand whether changes in finished-product pricing correspond with regional crop and supply conditions.
That distinction is critical when suppliers explain an increase as commodity inflation. A regional potato benchmark may have risen, but the size and timing of the finished-product adjustment depend on contract coverage, inventory, processing yield, sourcing geography, and the share of total cost attributable to raw potatoes. MassGain provides historical market movement, supply forecasts, regional spreads, and risk signals that procurement can combine with invoice history and supplier cost bridges.
Teams can use this view for budget forecasting, price validation, menu-margin analysis, supplier negotiations, and category reviews. It also makes cross-supplier comparisons more credible by separating differences in market exposure from differences in conversion or service. MassGain does not publish a universal delivered foodservice price or reveal private supplier economics. It provides the independent commodity-market context needed to identify supported increases, question lagged or oversized adjustments, and explain potato-cost changes internally with a clearer evidence trail.
Use Case
A hotel group notices frozen-fry invoices have increased 9% while its supplier attributes the change entirely to potatoes. MassGain shows the relevant regional processing-potato benchmark rose 4% and has since stabilized. Procurement compares the timing with contract inventory, freight, packaging, and conversion costs and determines that only part of the invoice increase is commodity-supported. The group negotiates a smaller interim adjustment, requests a component-level cost bridge, and adds a quarterly benchmark review so future decreases can flow through as well as increases.
FAQs
What determines foodservice potato prices?
Potato values, variety, quality, recovery, processing, energy, labor, packaging, storage, freight, distribution, volume, and service terms all contribute.
Why can invoice prices lag the potato market?
Suppliers may hold contracted raw material or finished inventory, and contract review periods can delay both increases and decreases.
How does MassGain help validate a supplier increase?
It compares the claimed commodity movement with the relevant regional potato benchmark, timing, supply conditions, and historical relationships.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.