Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Frozen Fries Export Prices by Country
Frozen fries export prices by country compare like-for-like finished products after cut, coating, grade, pack, plant, currency, port, shipment month, and seller obligations are aligned. MassGain connects export values with raw potatoes, conversion costs, freight, and destination economics for defensible international sourcing comparisons.
Market Data
How to read this market
Frozen-fries export-price data by country compares matched finished products across origins after aligning cut, coating, grade, oil, case configuration, shipment month, currency, port, volume, and seller obligation. The market object is the country-origin export offer or transaction for an equivalent fry specification.
Use the data to normalize FOB, customs, and delivered observations and then connect price movement with raw potatoes, processor utilization, oil, energy, currency, freight, and destination terms. Calculate landed usable economics rather than rank countries on customs averages alone.
Data Module
Frozen Fries Export Prices by Country
Market objectmatched country-origin fry price
Primary measurenormalized export and landed value
Key dimensionsorigin, product, port, shipment month
Commercial useinternational sourcing comparison
Cost contextraw, conversion, currency, freight
Compare withdestination duty and product performance
Analysis
Why this matters
Country-average export values can shift because the product or destination mix changes, even when like-for-like factory prices are stable. Premium coated fries and distant markets can lift the average without signaling broad inflation.
Commercial interpretation should compare identical specifications and destination economics. A higher FOB country can still be cheaper at the buyer's door when freight, duty, or product yield is better.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for food processors, restaurant procurement teams, distributors, and market analysts that need frozen-fries export prices by country. Country comparisons require a matched product and trade basis: cut, coating, grade, oil, package, brand status, shipment month, currency, port, contract volume, and seller obligations can materially change the value.
MassGain organizes FOB, customs, and delivered observations by origin, plant, product, destination, and period. It standardizes case and weight units, currency, freight basis, rebates, and package configuration and compares the result with raw-potato conditions, processor utilization, oil and energy, domestic demand, export volume, and route costs. Procurement can identify which country offers the best landed usable value for a specific destination. Processors can benchmark export competitiveness and understand whether price movement originates in raw supply, conversion, currency, or logistics.
MassGain does not provide executable offers or assume average customs unit values match a buyer’s specification. It preserves source, volume, timing, and methodology and clearly labels derived or sparse observations. The result is a transparent benchmark framework that helps users compare countries without mistaking a low-grade, distant, or differently packaged shipment for an equivalent frozen-fries price.
Use Case
A foodservice buyer compares country-average fry export values and selects the lowest origin. MassGain normalizes coating, package, freight, currency, and destination duty and shows a higher FOB country delivers the lower cost with better yield and a shorter route.
FAQs
What must be matched across fry export prices?
Cut, coating, grade, package, oil, currency, shipment month, port, volume, and terms must align.
Why can customs unit values mislead?
They may blend products, contracts, destinations, package formats, and timing with different commercial value.
How does MassGain compare countries?
It standardizes the product and trade basis and calculates destination-specific landed usable cost.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.