Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Organic Potato Production
The organic potato production view organizes certified output by region, crop year, variety, grade, and end use while preserving the filters that determine commercial availability. Procurement and analysts can compare usable supply with acreage, yield, inventory, imports, shipments, demand, and organic premiums.
Market Data
How to read this market
Organic-potato-production data measures harvested certified output by region, crop year, variety, grade, and end use. The market object is produced organic potatoes adjusted for the quality, certification, storage, and contract conditions that determine commercial availability.
Use the data to compare regions, estimate processor or fresh-market supply, and test whether production changes are broad or concentrated in one product class. Pair output with acreage, yield, inventory, imports, shipments, demand, and organic premiums.
Data Module
Organic Potato Production
Market objectcertified harvested output
Primary measuresproduction and marketable supply
Key dimensionsregion, variety, grade, end use
Commercial usesourcing and supply forecasting
Availability filtersquality, contracts, storage
Compare withacreage, imports, demand, premiums
Analysis
Why this matters
Total organic production can rise while a processor still faces scarcity if the increase is concentrated in fresh-market varieties or another region. Produced tonnes and specification-ready supply are not interchangeable.
Commercial interpretation should decompose the headline by destination and quality. Premium pressure is most meaningful where marketable output, imports, and storage all fail to cover the same demand segment.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for organic processors, procurement teams, growers, distributors, and analysts that need to measure organic potato production. Production combines harvested area and realized yield, but commercial availability also depends on certification, quality, variety, storage, contracts, and market channel. MassGain helps users move from headline output to the volume that can actually serve specific organic demand.
The suite organizes production by region, crop year, variety, grade, end use, and certification status and compares it with acreage, weather, shipments, inventory, imports, demand, and organic price premiums. Procurement can identify where a national increase still leaves a local specification shortage. Growers can compare regional performance and market absorption. Distributors can anticipate seasonal availability. Finance and lenders can evaluate revenue and supply scenarios using realistic marketable output.
Organic production data may be revised or reported at broader categories than buyers need. MassGain documents definitions and source coverage and does not treat all produced tonnes as freely available. It does not certify farms or lots. It provides the physical-market framework needed to assess usable organic supply, regional concentration, storage coverage, and the likely effect of production changes on premiums and procurement risk.
Use Case
A processor hears organic production rose 8% and expects prices to fall. MassGain shows the increase is concentrated in fresh-market potatoes, while processing-grade output in the plant’s region declined after quality losses. The buyer maintains coverage and avoids relying on the national headline.
FAQs
How is organic potato production measured?
It generally reflects harvested certified acreage multiplied by realized yield, subject to reporting definitions.
Why may production exceed available supply?
Contracts, quality, variety, storage, location, certification, and end use can limit what reaches the open market.
How does MassGain interpret production changes?
It compares output with acreage, weather, inventories, flows, imports, demand, and organic price premiums.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.