Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Acreage Estimate Revisions
Potato acreage estimate revisions record how planted and harvested area estimates change as surveys and reporting mature. MassGain preserves source and vintage, connects acreage changes with contracts, crop progress, abandonment, and final production, and helps analysts avoid backtesting models with information that was not available at the time.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato acreage-estimate-revision data preserves the sequence from planting intentions through planted and harvested-area estimates and final official figures. The market object is the acreage vintage by region, crop use, variety where available, source, and planted-versus-harvested basis.
Use the data to identify revisions caused by late reporting, weather, planting completion, abandonment, reclassification, or improved administrative records. Connect acreage changes with yield, production, seed availability, processor contracts, and the sourcing regions that actually serve the buyer.
Data Module
Potato Acreage Estimate Revisions
Market objectversioned potato-area estimate
Primary measuresintended, planted, harvested area
Key dimensionsregion, crop use, variety, vintage
Commercial usesupply and planting analysis
Revision driversreporting, weather, abandonment, classification
Compare withyield, seed, contracts, production
Analysis
Why this matters
Acreage revisions do not always represent acres newly planted or lost after the fact; some reflect better measurement or a change from planted to harvested basis. Mixing those concepts can create false production signals.
Commercial interpretation should ask whether the revised area is relevant to the buyer's product and whether yield and contract support make it usable supply. Acres alone are only the first step in the crop balance.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, processors, procurement planners, lenders, and analysts that need to track revisions to potato acreage estimates. Acreage can change between intentions, planted estimates, certification records, harvested area, and final official figures as weather, reporting, abandonment, and classification become clearer. MassGain preserves the sequence and links each revision to its market significance.
The suite can organize estimate vintage, geography, crop use, variety, planted or harvested basis, source, confidence, and reason for change. Growers can compare their region with evolving expectations. Processors can determine whether revised acres support future plant demand. Lenders can update working-capital and production scenarios. Forecasters can distinguish model error from later official remeasurement. Procurement can avoid reacting to national acreage changes that occur outside its sourcing radius or in a different potato segment.
MassGain does not guarantee the final acreage figure or assume every revision reflects a physical change after planting. It provides a transparent history that separates new information, boundary changes, late reports, and abandonment and connects acreage revisions with yield, production, prices, seed availability, and contracting.
Use Case
Processing-potato acreage is revised higher after late grower reports. MassGain shows the increase is concentrated in an emerging basin but lacks confirmed storage and processor contracts. The company raises long-term supply potential without adding the full acreage to near-term usable production.
FAQs
Why are potato acreage estimates revised?
Late reporting, weather, planting completion, abandonment, reclassification, and improved administrative data can cause revisions.
Are planted and harvested acres interchangeable?
No. Abandonment and unharvested fields can create a meaningful difference.
How does MassGain qualify acreage changes?
It links each vintage with region, crop use, yield, contracts, seed, storage, and production implications.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.