Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Actual Production History Yield
Potato actual production history yield organizes the producer-specific acreage and production records used under applicable crop-insurance rules. Growers and lenders can reconcile crop years, units, practices, source records, substitutions, and adjustments while keeping the approved historical measure distinct from current expected and marketable yield.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato Actual Production History yield data organizes the historical production and acreage records used under applicable crop-insurance rules to establish a producer-specific yield history. The market object is the insured production record by crop year, unit, acreage, practice, county, variety or type where relevant, production units, and any substituted, transitional, assigned, or adjusted values.
Use the data to reconcile source records, identify missing or anomalous years, and keep the approved insurance history separate from a current operational yield forecast. Connect APH with current acreage, crop conditions, contracts, and market value for planning.
Data Module
Potato Actual Production History Yield
Market objectinsurance production-history record
Primary measureseligible production and yield history
Key dimensionscrop year, unit, acreage, practice
Commercial useinsurance and finance reconciliation
Method contextsubstitutions, adjustments, source records
Compare withcurrent expected and marketable yield
Analysis
Why this matters
APH is an administrative historical measure, not a prediction of this season's crop. A farm's approved history can differ materially from current expected yield because recent management, weather, acreage mix, and quality have changed.
Commercial interpretation should use APH for the insurance role it serves while modeling operational production separately. Confusing the two can overstate either coverage or supply.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
Growers, agricultural lenders, insurers, and risk teams use potato Actual Production History yield to understand the producer-specific yield record used in crop-insurance and farm-risk analysis. APH is built from eligible historical production and acreage records under applicable program rules, not simply from a regional average or the grower’s best seasons.
MassGain organizes reported acres, harvested production, unit conversion, crop year, practice, county, variety or type where relevant, and any substituted, transitional, assigned, or adjusted values. Growers can reconcile source records before insurance decisions. Lenders can compare insured yield with current production plans and contract exposure. Risk teams can stress revenue under weather and price scenarios while distinguishing the approved insurance yield from an operational forecast.
MassGain does not calculate an official APH, determine program eligibility, or provide insurance advice. It provides a transparent record and scenario layer that helps users trace how the historical yield was assembled, identify missing or anomalous years, and connect the approved record with current acreage, crop conditions, quality, and market value. That improves planning without confusing insurance methodology with a guaranteed future yield.
Use Case
A grower’s insurance paperwork shows a lower APH than internal farm records suggest. MassGain reconciles acreage, production units, excluded fields, and one substituted year and finds a reporting mismatch. The grower brings the documented discrepancy to the approved insurance provider before the deadline.
FAQs
What is potato Actual Production History yield?
It is an approved historical yield record built from eligible production and acreage data under applicable insurance rules.
Is APH the same as expected yield?
No. It is an insurance history measure, while current expected yield reflects present crop and field conditions.
How does MassGain support review?
It organizes crop years, acreage, production, units, substitutions, source records, and current planning context.
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.