Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Available Supply Forecast
A potato available supply forecast estimates what buyers can realistically purchase after production and inventory are adjusted for commitments, seed, quality loss, storage, exports, reserved volume, and specification constraints. MassGain segments that accessible supply by region, variety, channel, and delivery period for coverage decisions.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato available supply forecast estimates the volume likely to be commercially accessible after total production is adjusted for quality, commitments, seed retention, storage losses, exports, reserved inventory, and specification constraints. It focuses on what buyers can realistically purchase or allocate.
MassGain organizes those deductions by region, variety, market channel, and delivery period so users can distinguish headline crop size from uncommitted usable supply.
Data Module
Available supply context
Productionstarting crop and inventory
Committed volumecontracts and reservations
Quality lossesunusable or downgraded supply
Retentionseed or other non-market uses
Regional accesslogistics and specification fit
Decision usesupplemental purchasing and coverage planning
Analysis
Why this matters
A large crop can coexist with little available supply when most volume is contracted or unsuitable for the required end use. Reported inventory can also be geographically stranded or deteriorating.
MassGain helps quantify that accessibility gap. The analytical question is how much compatible volume remains truly open to the buyer at the relevant time and location.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for growers, processors, packers, distributors, and supply-chain teams that need a forward estimate of potato volume that will actually be available for purchase or allocation—not simply total production. A potato available supply forecast starts with acreage and yield, then adjusts for quality, marketable recovery, contracted commitments, seed retention, storage losses, processing requirements, exports, and inventory already reserved for customers. MassGain’s potato data suite organizes those inputs by region, variety, market channel, and delivery period to show where uncommitted, specification-compatible supply may remain.
The distinction is essential in a contract-heavy physical market. A large crop can coexist with limited open supply when most tonnes are committed to processors or long-term buyers. Reported inventory may also overstate availability if quality is deteriorating, the wrong varieties are stored, or freight makes the product uneconomic for the destination. MassGain helps teams build base, tight, and abundant scenarios and identify the evidence that would move the forecast, such as revised yield, grower commitments, storage inspections, import flows, or processor nominations.
The forecast supports supplemental purchasing, sales commitments, storage strategy, production planning, and contingency sourcing. MassGain does not reveal every private contract or guarantee that forecast volume will be offered. It provides a transparent estimate of the supply likely to be commercially accessible, helping users avoid treating total crop size as a substitute for the volume they can actually buy, move, and use.
Use Case
A processor needs 40,000 additional tonnes for late-season production. Headline regional production looks comfortable, but MassGain’s available-supply forecast deducts contracted processor volume, seed retention, expected storage loss, and potatoes outside the required solids range. Only 24,000 tonnes appear realistically accessible locally. Procurement reserves that volume, qualifies 10,000 tonnes from a neighboring region, and redesigns the remaining production plan before spot availability disappears.
FAQs
What is potato available supply?
It is the portion of marketable production and inventory that remains commercially accessible after commitments, quality limits, retention, losses, and logistics are considered.
Why can available supply be smaller than reported inventory?
Stored potatoes may already be committed, unsuitable by variety or quality, deteriorating, geographically stranded, or uneconomic to move.
How does MassGain forecast available supply?
It combines production, marketable recovery, commitments, storage, demand, trade, specifications, prices, and regional accessibility in scenario form.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.