Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Balance Sheet Reconciliation
Potato balance sheet reconciliation tests whether opening stocks and new supply align with measured fresh use, processing, seed, trade, losses, and ending stocks. MassGain preserves source definitions, revisions, conversions, and residuals so analysts can identify double counting or missing components before using the balance for forecasts.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato balance-sheet-reconciliation data aligns beginning stocks and new supply with processing, fresh use, exports, seed, feed, losses, other disappearance, and ending stocks under consistent units, geography, crop periods, and product definitions. The market object is the full regional or national supply-use identity with every source and adjustment traceable.
Use the data to identify gaps caused by timing, revisions, duplicate flows, incompatible product conversions, or missing categories and to test the arithmetic against shipments, storage, plant activity, quality, and trade. Preserve unresolved residuals rather than inventing balancing tonnes.
Data Module
Potato Balance Sheet Reconciliation
Market objectreconciled potato supply-use balance
Primary measuresupply equals use plus ending stocks
Key dimensionsregion, crop period, product, source
Commercial usemarket-balance and forecast validation
Controlsunits, timing, geography, duplication
Compare withphysical flow and storage evidence
Analysis
Why this matters
A balance can add mathematically and still be wrong when two compensating errors offset each other. Conversely, a negative residual can arise simply because plant intake and stock reports use incompatible periods.
Commercial interpretation should combine accounting identities with physical evidence. The goal is not zero residual at any cost, but a balance whose components describe a plausible potato market.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, finance, processors, growers, and market analysts that need a potato balance sheet to add up across production, imports, carryin, processing, fresh use, exports, seed, feed, losses, and ending stocks. Reconciliation identifies whether each tonne has one consistent place in the supply-and-use system.
MassGain preserves source definitions, units, crop periods, publication vintages, and geographic boundaries and flags gaps caused by timing, revisions, duplicate flows, or incompatible product conversions. Procurement can test whether an apparent shortage is supported by the full balance. Processors can align intake with regional supply. Finance can use consistent assumptions in budgets. Analysts can document residuals and compare alternative estimates rather than silently forcing equality.
A reconciled balance is not automatically correct; compensating errors can still produce a zero difference. MassGain therefore connects arithmetic checks with physical evidence such as shipments, storage, plant activity, crop quality, and trade. It does not invent missing tonnes. It provides an auditable framework that shows every input, adjustment, and uncertainty and helps teams understand whether disagreement arises from real market change or data architecture.
Use Case
A regional balance implies negative ending stocks. MassGain finds processor intake is reported by calendar month while production and stocks use a crop-year basis, and one transfer is counted as consumption. Aligning periods and removing the duplicate restores a plausible balance and changes the shortage estimate materially.
FAQs
What must a potato balance sheet reconcile?
Beginning stocks and new supply must reconcile with all uses, losses, trade, and ending stocks.
Why can a balance fail to add up?
Timing, units, geography, revisions, duplicate movements, missing uses, and product conversions can create gaps.
How does MassGain test more than arithmetic?
It checks the reconciled numbers against shipments, storage, processing, quality, trade, and market behavior.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.