Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Bilateral Trade Flows
Potato bilateral trade flows measure movement between a specific origin and destination by product, period, volume, value, and unit value. Analysts and procurement teams can assess corridor dependence, substitution, freight, policy risk, and whether the flow matches actual buyer needs.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato bilateral-trade-flow data measures country-pair movement by origin, destination, product, period, volume, value, and unit value. The market object is a specific trade corridor rather than a national import or export total.
Use the data to measure dependency, substitution, corridor depth, and policy exposure for fresh, seed, frozen, flakes, starch, or other potato forms. Pair the flow with freight, re-exports, tariffs, and domestic markets so nominal volume is not mistaken for directly substitutable supply.
Data Module
Potato Bilateral Trade Flows
Market objectcountry-pair potato flow
Primary measuresvolume, value, unit value
Key dimensionsorigin, destination, product, period
Commercial usecorridor and dependency analysis
Market contextre-exports, freight, policy
Compare withdomestic supply and alternatives
Analysis
Why this matters
Country-pair trends reveal dependencies hidden in aggregate trade, but a large corridor can still be concentrated in one product or season. That may offer little protection to a buyer exposed to another specification.
Commercial interpretation should test product fit, route capacity, and policy resilience before treating bilateral depth as true substitution.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for trade analysts, procurement teams, economists, and risk managers that need to measure bilateral potato trade flows. Bilateral flows capture the volume and value moving between one origin and one destination, revealing relationships hidden inside national totals. MassGain helps users compare those routes across products, seasons, and market conditions.
The suite can organize fresh, seed, frozen, flakes, starch, and other categories by partner pair, quantity, value, unit price, period, port, and mode. Analysts can identify growing trade corridors, displacement, and dependence. Procurement can see which foreign sources actually serve the buyer’s market. Risk teams can assess exposure to tariffs, border closures, disease controls, currency, and lane capacity.
Bilateral figures can include re-exports, mirror-data differences, and broad product classifications. MassGain documents those limits and links trade with domestic production, prices, freight, and demand. It does not treat all reported volume as substitutable. It provides the structured country-pair view needed to understand where potato commerce is deep, fragile, or changing.
Use Case
A processor considers diversifying imports away from one country. MassGain compares bilateral flows from three alternatives and shows only one has a stable multi-year corridor, appropriate product mix, and sufficient lane capacity. Procurement prioritizes qualification there.
FAQs
What is a bilateral potato trade flow?
It is reported potato trade between a specific exporting and importing country.
Why are country-pair trends useful?
They reveal dependence, route depth, substitution, and policy exposure hidden in total trade.
How does MassGain qualify the flow?
It adds product, value, volume, re-export, freight, policy, seasonality, and domestic-market context.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.