Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Commercial Disappearance
Potato commercial disappearance measures how available supply leaves stocks through defined market uses over a period. MassGain reconciles fresh consumption, processing, seed, exports, feed, shrink, and other uses so analysts can infer demand and inventory movement without treating every residual as known consumption.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato commercial-disappearance data measures volume leaving a defined commercial supply pool through processing, fresh sales, exports, seed, feed, or other recognized uses over a period. The market object is the reconciled flow by region and crop category rather than every observed inventory decline.
Use the data to compare disappearance with beginning and ending stocks, production, imports, shipments, and market activity while separating transfers, shrink, spoilage, regrading, and reporting revisions. Keep residual uncertainty visible.
Data Module
Potato Commercial Disappearance
Market objectreconciled commercial supply outflow
Primary measurevolume leaving available supply
Key dimensionsregion, crop use, period
Commercial usebalance and demand analysis
Reconciliationtransfers, losses, revisions
Compare withstocks, processing, fresh movement, trade
Analysis
Why this matters
Commercial disappearance is not the same as final consumer consumption. Potatoes can enter processing, distribution, export, or downstream inventory before they are ultimately consumed.
Commercial interpretation should focus on how quickly the available supply pool is being reduced and by which channels. Large unexplained residuals should widen uncertainty rather than be relabeled automatically as demand.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, processors, growers, and market analysts that need to measure potato commercial disappearance—the volume leaving available commercial supply through processing, fresh sales, exports, seed, feed, or other recognized uses during a period. MassGain helps users reconcile that movement without treating every inventory reduction as consumption.
The suite can combine beginning stocks, production, imports, ending stocks, and documented uses by region and crop category. Transfers, shrink, spoilage, regrading, and reporting revisions are separated where possible. Procurement can judge whether demand is drawing down supply faster than expected. Processors can compare intake with wider market disappearance. Growers can understand marketing pace. Finance and analysts can update balance sheets and price scenarios.
Commercial disappearance is often derived and may contain residual error when source systems differ. It does not prove end-consumer demand because inventory can move into downstream channels before consumption. MassGain documents definitions, source coverage, units, and reconciliation gaps rather than forcing false precision. It provides a transparent flow measure that helps users understand how quickly marketable potatoes are leaving the available pool, which channels are responsible, and whether current stocks are consistent with observed activity.
Use Case
Reported regional stocks fall sharply, suggesting strong disappearance. MassGain reconciles processor receipts, fresh shipments, exports, and warehouse transfers and finds a large interregional transfer was counted as local depletion. True commercial disappearance remains near normal, preventing an inflated demand forecast.
FAQs
What is potato commercial disappearance?
It is the volume leaving defined commercial supply through recognized market uses during a period.
Is disappearance the same as consumer consumption?
No. Product may enter processing, distribution, export, or downstream inventory before final use.
How does MassGain reconcile the measure?
It combines supply and stock records with processing, shipments, trade, seed, feed, losses, and transfers.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.