Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Contract Purchase Survey
A potato contract purchase survey measures committed raw-potato business separately from spot activity. MassGain structures volume, pricing formulas, quality schedules, delivery, storage, freight, premiums, deductions, options, and crop year so contracts can be compared without reducing them to one headline price.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato contract-purchase-survey data organizes committed raw-potato programs by volume, pricing formula, fixed or indexed components, crop year, variety, quality schedule, delivery window, storage obligations, freight, premiums, deductions, options, and settlement timing. The market object is the contract structure and commitment.
Use the data to compare newly signed business across regions and crop years while separating commitments from routine deliveries under older contracts.
Data Module
Potato Contract Purchase Survey
Market objectcommitted purchase program
Primary measuresvolume, price structure, obligations
Key dimensionscrop year, region, variety, delivery
Commercial usecontract-market and coverage analysis
Controlsamendments, options, settlement timing
Compare withrealized deliveries and spot market
Analysis
Why this matters
Nominal contract price can misstate economics when storage obligations, quality schedules, freight, or options differ. Newly signed contracts also describe a different market moment than current deliveries under older agreements.
Commercial interpretation should normalize economic terms while preserving the original risk allocation.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for analysts and market researchers designing a potato contract purchase survey that measures committed raw-potato business separately from spot activity. MassGain organizes contract volume, price formula, fixed or indexed components, crop year, variety, quality schedule, delivery window, storage obligations, freight, premiums, deductions, options, acreage links, and settlement timing.
It distinguishes newly signed commitments from routine deliveries under older contracts and preserves amendments, renegotiations, and unexercised options. Researchers can compare contract structures across regions and crop years, estimate how much future supply is committed, and analyze the relationship between formula terms and later realized prices.
Procurement and finance teams can assess open exposure, while growers can compare commercial programs without reducing every agreement to one nominal price. MassGain does not disclose unauthorized confidential contracts or provide legal interpretation. It provides a governed survey framework that converts diverse contract terms into comparable fields while retaining the clauses that create risk, value, and timing differences.
Use Case
A regional survey reports higher contract prices for the new crop. MassGain shows the headline increase includes longer storage obligations and a tighter quality schedule. After valuing those terms, the improvement in grower economics is smaller than the nominal price change suggests.
FAQs
What should a contract purchase survey capture?
It should capture volume, price structure, quality, delivery, storage, freight, options, premiums, deductions, and crop year.
Why separate signed contracts from deliveries?
A current delivery may reflect terms negotiated many months earlier and does not describe today’s contracting market.
How does MassGain compare unlike contracts?
It normalizes economic components while preserving the original formula, obligations, and risk allocation.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.