Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Contract Purchase Value
Potato contract purchase value measures the expected and realized money committed under potato supply agreements. MassGain normalizes pricing formulas, quality, storage, freight, options, and settlements and connects each program with usable volume and recovery for fair contract comparison.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato contract-purchase-value data combines committed volume with fixed prices, formulas, indices, quality schedules, storage payments, freight, bonuses, deductions, options, and final settlements. The market object is expected and realized contract value by supplier, crop year, product, and delivery period.
Use the data to compare programs on matched usable-cost terms and to decompose year-over-year changes into price, volume, quality, storage, and service effects.
Data Module
Potato Contract Purchase Value
Market objectexpected and realized contract spend
Primary measurestotal and usable unit cost
Key dimensionssupplier, crop year, product, period
Commercial usecontract and budget analysis
Adjustmentsformula, storage, quality, freight
Compare withrealized recovery and spot market
Analysis
Why this matters
Two contracts with similar base prices can create different economics because storage obligations, quality schedules, freight, options, or recovery differ.
Commercial interpretation should separate expected from realized value and compare cost per usable output rather than nominal contract price alone.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement and market-intelligence teams analyzing potato contract purchase value across crop years, suppliers, and commercial programs. MassGain combines committed volume with fixed prices, formulas, indices, quality schedules, storage payments, freight, currency, bonuses, deductions, options, and final settlements.
It separates estimated contract value from realized paid value and shows how open components may change before delivery. Procurement can compare programs on a matched usable-cost basis, finance can forecast liabilities and price exposure, and analysts can decompose year-over-year changes into volume, formula, quality, and service effects.
The suite also connects contract value with expected recovery and plant use, preventing a low nominal price from appearing advantageous when the specification or performance is weaker. MassGain does not provide legal or accounting advice and does not disclose unauthorized contract terms. It provides a transparent valuation framework that preserves every component affecting expected and realized cost.
Use Case
Two plants sign contracts with similar base prices. MassGain shows one program includes higher storage payments and looser quality, while the other delivers stronger expected recovery. Finance values both on a finished-output basis and finds the nominally dearer contract is economically superior.
FAQs
What is contract purchase value?
It is the expected or realized monetary value of potato purchases made under defined contract terms.
Why distinguish expected and realized value?
Quality, volume, indices, options, freight, and final settlement can change the amount paid.
How does MassGain compare contracts?
It normalizes commercial components and connects cost with usable volume, recovery, timing, and risk.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.