Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Contract Purchase Volume
Potato contract purchase volume measures the tonnes secured through defined purchase programs. MassGain separates firm, nominated, optional, received, impaired, and defaulted supply and connects contract volume with quality, plant fit, timing, crop progress, and replacement coverage.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato contract-purchase-volume data measures raw-potato tonnes secured under fixed, formula, acreage-linked, option, or other committed programs by crop year, region, supplier, variety, plant, delivery window, and quality specification. The market object is the commitment status of physical supply.
Use the data to distinguish firm, nominated, optional, received, impaired, and defaulted tonnes and to compare nominal coverage with usable plant-ready supply.
Data Module
Potato Contract Purchase Volume
Market objectcommitted raw-potato supply
Primary measureusable contracted tonnes
Key dimensionssupplier, plant, variety, period
Commercial usecoverage and concentration analysis
Statusfirm, optional, received, impaired
Compare withplant demand and replacement supply
Analysis
Why this matters
Nominal contract volume can overstate coverage when options are unexercised, quality deteriorates, timing slips, or supply cannot serve the intended plant. Contracted and usable tonnes are different.
Commercial interpretation should classify commitment strength and quality-adjusted delivery by specification and period.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement and market-intelligence teams measuring potato contract purchase volume: the quantity secured under fixed, formula, acreage-linked, or other committed programs. MassGain organizes contracted tonnes by crop year, region, supplier, variety, quality specification, plant, delivery window, storage responsibility, option status, and confidence.
It distinguishes signed commitments from nominations, planned acreage, optional volume, actual receipts, and defaulted or quality-impaired tonnes. Users can calculate physical coverage, identify concentration, and see where nominal contract volume may not translate into usable plant supply. Procurement can compare requirements with firm and conditional commitments, finance can assess open-price and performance exposure, and analysts can track how contracting changes across seasons.
The suite also links contract volume with crop progress, storage condition, supplier reliability, and expected recovery. MassGain does not guarantee delivery or interpret enforceability. It provides a transparent coverage ladder that shows how much supply is truly committed, when it should arrive, and which specifications remain exposed.
Use Case
A processor reports 95% contract coverage for the next crop. MassGain removes optional tonnes not yet exercised, adjusts for expected quality loss, and identifies one plant with only 81% firm usable coverage. Procurement secures a targeted backup rather than buying broadly.
FAQs
What counts as contract purchase volume?
It includes enforceable or otherwise defined committed tonnes under a stated purchase program.
Why can nominal contract volume overstate coverage?
Options, quality loss, delivery risk, timing, and plant compatibility can reduce usable supply.
How does MassGain classify commitments?
It separates firm, nominated, optional, conditional, received, impaired, and defaulted tonnes.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.