Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Crop Balance by Country
Potato crop balance by country reconciles national supply with fresh use, processing, seed, feed, exports, losses, and ending stocks. MassGain standardizes crop years and product definitions and keeps quality, storage, contracts, and conversion assumptions visible so national surplus is not confused with accessible supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato crop-balance data by country reconciles opening stocks, domestic production, imports, and other supply with fresh consumption, processing, seed, feed, exports, losses, and ending stocks. The market object is the national physical balance by crop year and product category, with processed trade converted carefully where raw-potato equivalents are used.
Use the data to identify which component drives a country's surplus or deficit and to compare national balances on consistent crop-year and product definitions. Pair the arithmetic with regional quality, contracts, storage, and processing capacity before treating a national surplus as accessible supply.
Data Module
Potato Crop Balance by Country
Market objectnational potato supply-demand balance
Primary measuressupply, use, ending stocks
Key dimensionscountry, crop year, product use
Commercial useinternational supply analysis
Balance itemsproduction, trade, processing, seed, feed
Compare withquality, storage, contracts, capacity
Analysis
Why this matters
A national production increase does not automatically create a market surplus when processing, exports, or domestic consumption expand at the same time. Balance-sheet context is needed to understand whether extra tonnes actually remain available.
Commercial interpretation should also treat residuals and conversion assumptions cautiously. A mathematically balanced table can still hide uncertainty in stocks, losses, or processed-product equivalents.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, producer groups, processors, lenders, and analysts that need a potato crop balance by country. A country balance reconciles opening stocks, production, imports, and other supply with fresh use, processing, seed, feed, exports, losses, and ending stocks. MassGain helps users compare nations without mixing incompatible crop years, product forms, or raw-potato equivalents.
The suite can organize planted area, harvested area, yield, production, trade, stocks, and disappearance by country and product category. Growers can see whether domestic prices are being shaped by local surplus or import dependence. Processors can compare raw availability with plant capacity and exports. Lenders can assess structural supply risk. Analysts can identify which component drives year-over-year change and preserve revisions and confidence where official data are incomplete.
A balanced equation does not guarantee every number is accurate, and a national surplus may not be accessible because of quality, contracts, geography, or crop use. MassGain keeps residuals and uncertainty visible and connects the arithmetic with physical evidence. It provides a consistent international framework for understanding where potatoes originate, how they are used, and which countries are likely to influence regional trade and price.
Use Case
A grower group sees its country’s production increase 6% and expects lower prices. MassGain’s balance shows processing expansion and stronger exports absorb nearly all additional supply, while carryout changes little. The group revises its marketing outlook instead of treating production growth as an automatic surplus.
FAQs
What belongs in a country crop balance?
Opening stocks and new supply should reconcile with domestic uses, trade, losses, and ending stocks.
Why use raw-potato equivalents carefully?
Processed trade and conversion yields can create double counting or misleading comparisons.
How does MassGain handle incomplete data?
It preserves sources, residuals, ranges, revisions, and confidence rather than forcing false precision.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.