Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Crop Estimate by Country
Potato crop estimate by country standardizes planted and harvested area, yield, production, crop use, and forecast vintage across national statistical systems. MassGain preserves local definitions and revisions and connects gross output with quality, storage, processing, and trade so countries can be compared without false precision.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato crop-estimate data by country standardizes planted and harvested area, yield, production, crop use, weather, quality, and forecast vintage across national statistical systems. The market object is a country-level production range that preserves local crop calendars, definitions, and revision status.
Use the data to compare countries consistently while separating fresh, processing, seed, and starch production where evidence allows. Track whether estimate changes come from acreage, yield, abandonment, classification, or better reporting, and connect gross output with storage and marketability.
Data Module
Potato Crop Estimate by Country
Market objectnational potato production estimate
Primary measuresarea, yield, production range
Key dimensionscountry, crop year, crop use
Commercial useinternational supply forecasting
Method contextsource, vintage, revisions, definitions
Compare withquality, storage, processing, trade
Analysis
Why this matters
Country crop estimates are often not directly comparable because crop years, survey methods, and product classifications differ. A reported increase can even reflect a statistical reclassification rather than new physical production.
Commercial interpretation should preserve source methodology and translate gross tonnes into relevant end-use supply. Specification-ready exports or processor feedstock can move differently from the national crop total.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, producer groups, processors, lenders, and planners that need a potato crop estimate by country. A comparable estimate requires more than multiplying reported acreage by a headline yield. Each country uses different crop calendars, survey methods, product definitions, harvested-area treatment, and revision schedules.
MassGain organizes planted area, harvested area, yield, production, crop use, quality, weather, and forecast vintage by country and region. It standardizes units and separates fresh, processing, seed, and starch crops where evidence permits. Growers can compare expected national supply with neighboring markets. Processors can identify which countries may have specification-ready surplus. Lenders can stress regional production exposure. Analysts can see whether revisions come from acreage, yield, abandonment, classification, or improved reporting and can preserve what was known at each forecast date.
MassGain does not guarantee official final production or force incomplete countries into false precision. It provides source lineage, confidence ranges, and scenario assumptions and connects crop estimates with storage, processing, trade, and demand. This helps users compare countries consistently while retaining the local details that determine whether estimated tonnes will actually become usable market supply.
Use Case
A grower group compares its expected crop with three neighboring countries. MassGain standardizes crop years and units, separates processing and fresh output, and shows one country’s apparent growth is mostly an acreage reclassification. The group avoids overstating regional surplus.
FAQs
What inputs create a country crop estimate?
Planted and harvested area, yield, abandonment, crop use, quality, weather, and revisions create it.
Why are country estimates hard to compare?
Crop calendars, definitions, survey methods, units, and product classifications differ.
How does MassGain preserve comparability?
It standardizes definitions while retaining original sources, vintages, confidence, and local context.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.