Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Drought Risk
Potato drought risk depends on more than rainfall: crop stage, irrigation security, heat, soil, and water allocation determine the likely commercial effect. MassGain links those conditions with yield, quality, regional prices, and replacement supply for sourcing and credit scenarios.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato drought risk measures the potential commercial impact of prolonged moisture deficit and water stress on potato yield, quality, irrigation expense, harvest timing, and regional supply. The relevant exposure depends on crop stage, irrigation infrastructure, water availability, soil, variety, heat, and the geographic concentration of production.
MassGain can connect drought indicators with acreage, crop progress, historical yield, processing suitability, regional prices, and replacement supply. Lenders and processors can use the data to distinguish a dry weather headline from a condition that is likely to affect marketable production or operating cost.
Data Module
Drought risk context
Regionexposed production basin
Crop stageestablishment, tuber set, or bulking
Water accessirrigation and allocation reliability
Yield and qualitymarketable production sensitivity
Market responseprice and replacement availability
Decision usecrop, credit, and sourcing scenarios
Analysis
Why this matters
Rainfall alone is a weak measure of potato drought exposure. Irrigated fields with secure water can remain resilient while nearby acres with restricted allocations face meaningful stress, so borrower and supplier risk can diverge within the same weather region.
The commercial signal also depends on timing. Water stress during a sensitive growth stage can reduce usable output more than a similar dry spell later in the crop. MassGain helps link the physical exposure with market and contract consequences rather than treating drought as a uniform regional shock.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for agricultural lenders, insurers, processors, growers, and portfolio risk teams that need to understand how drought may affect potato yield, quality, irrigation cost, water access, and regional supply. Potato drought risk is not captured by rainfall alone. Exposure depends on crop stage, irrigation infrastructure, water allocations, soil, heat, variety, reservoir or groundwater conditions, and the ability to maintain quality during critical growth periods.
MassGain’s potato data suite helps users connect weather and water evidence with acreage, crop progress, historical yield, processing suitability, regional prices, and market availability. That allows a lender or processor to distinguish a manageable dry period from a condition likely to reduce marketable production or increase operating cost. Geospatial and regional views can also reveal when several borrowers, suppliers, and plants share the same basin-level exposure.
The analysis supports underwriting, insurance review, procurement planning, and stress testing. MassGain does not forecast an individual field’s loss or replace agronomy and water-management data. It provides the external market framework needed to translate drought indicators into scenarios for lower usable yield, higher irrigation expense, delayed harvest, tighter regional supply, and the resulting effects on cash flow or replacement cost.
Use Case
A lender monitors growers in two irrigated basins during a hot, dry season. MassGain shows one basin has secure water and near-normal crop progress, while the other faces allocation cuts during tuber bulking. The bank stresses marketable yield and operating cost only for the exposed borrowers and asks for updated water, insurance, and contract information.
FAQs
What determines potato drought risk?
Crop stage, irrigation, water availability, heat, soil, variety, duration, and regional concentration all matter.
Why can two nearby growers have different drought exposure?
Water rights, irrigation capacity, soils, varieties, planting dates, and contracts may differ materially.
How does MassGain support drought analysis?
It connects regional weather and water signals with crop progress, yield history, prices, supply, and borrower exposure.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.