Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Ex Farm Purchase Volume
Potato ex farm purchase volume measures the tonnes buyers actually acquire from growers rather than total crop production. MassGain separates contract and spot business, ownership transfer, storage movement, accepted volume, and buyer concentration so farmgate demand can be interpreted correctly.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato ex-farm-purchase-volume data measures tonnes acquired from growers on a defined farmgate or ownership-transfer basis by region, variety, grade, buyer, crop year, contract or spot basis, and delivery period. The market object is purchased crop volume, not total production.
Use the data to compare buyer demand, grower sales pace, and regional procurement while separating owned-storage movement, consignment, internal transfers, and unpurchased harvested tonnes.
Data Module
Potato Ex Farm Purchase Volume
Market objectfarmgate purchased volume
Primary measureaccepted tonnes acquired
Key dimensionsgrower, region, variety, buyer
Commercial usegrower sales and procurement analysis
Controlscontract versus spot, ownership transfer
Compare withproduction, storage, plant intake
Analysis
Why this matters
Strong harvest production can coexist with weak ex-farm purchases if processors are drawing already-contracted or stored tonnes. Production and current buying demand are different market stages.
Commercial interpretation should preserve ownership transfer and contract basis before using volume as a demand signal.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers and producers monitoring potato ex farm purchase volume: the quantity bought at or near the farmgate before downstream freight, packing, storage, or processing charges. MassGain organizes purchased tonnes by grower, region, variety, grade, crop year, buyer, contract or spot basis, delivery window, and ownership transfer point.
It distinguishes harvested production from actual purchases and separates ex-farm buying from potatoes moved from owned storage, consignment, or internal transfer. Growers can compare buyer demand and sales pace, processors can estimate raw procurement by catchment, lenders can assess crop conversion into receivables, and analysts can connect farmgate volume with shipments and later plant intake.
The suite also highlights concentration when a few buyers account for most reported purchases and preserves revisions when final accepted tonnes differ from nominations. MassGain does not claim full visibility into private farm transactions. It provides a transparent physical-volume framework for understanding how much crop has actually changed hands at the farm level.
Use Case
A growing region reports strong harvest production but weak ex-farm purchases. MassGain shows processors are drawing previously contracted tonnes from grower-owned storage while spot buying remains limited. Growers recognize that current farmgate demand is softer than total movement suggests and adjust cash-flow plans.
FAQs
What is ex farm purchase volume?
It is the quantity purchased from growers on a defined farmgate or ownership-transfer basis.
How is it different from production?
Production measures crop output, while purchase volume measures potatoes that buyers actually acquire.
Why preserve contract and spot basis?
The two reflect different timing, price formation, and current market demand.
Put this market intelligence to work
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.