Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Export Market Price Index
A potato export market price index measures price movement across a defined basket of exported products or destinations. Commercial and finance teams can use it with trade volume and destination weights to distinguish underlying pricing power from currency or mix-driven changes.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato export market price index tracks price movement for a defined basket of exported potato products, destinations, or producer sales. It should preserve product scope, destination weights, currency treatment, delivery basis, contract timing, and base period.
Use it to analyze export realization alongside trade volume, customs unit values, regional input costs, and destination concentration. Separate currency and product-mix effects before using the index as evidence of underlying pricing power.
Data Module
Potato Export Market Price Index
ObjectExport potato price-change benchmark
DimensionsProduct, destination, currency, period
MethodBasket, weights, base, delivery basis
Commercial useExport pricing and margin analysis
ComparisonTrade volume and domestic producer prices
WatchpointDestination and currency mix can distort signal
Analysis
Why this matters
Export prices can strengthen while domestic markets remain flat because exporters change destinations, products, or currency exposure. A premium specialty product gaining share can lift the index without a like-for-like increase in standard products.
Commercial interpretation should therefore distinguish price, mix, and FX. That decomposition shows whether exporters have real pricing power or simply sold a different basket.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for exporters, processors, finance teams, economists, and market analysts that need to track potato prices in foreign markets. A potato export market price index measures changes in a defined basket of exported products, destinations, or producer sales over time. MassGain helps users interpret the product scope, destination mix, currency treatment, delivery basis, weights, and contract periods behind the index.
Export prices can move differently from domestic markets because of freight, currency, tariffs, customer specifications, destination competition, and product mix. A rising index may reflect stronger like-for-like pricing, but it can also result from a larger share of premium frozen products or movement into higher-value destinations. MassGain connects the index with export volume, customs unit values, regional potato costs, capacity, and partner concentration. Commercial teams can evaluate realization, finance can separate currency and mix, procurement can understand processors’ export incentives, and lenders can stress foreign-market dependence. The result is a qualified export benchmark that explains whether price movement is broad or concentrated and prevents users from applying a destination-weighted output index directly to unrelated domestic purchases or raw-potato contracts.
Use Case
A processor’s export price index rises despite stable standard-fries contracts. MassGain shows the change comes from greater sales of coated specialty products to a high-value destination, allowing finance to separate product mix from underlying pricing power.
FAQs
What does an export potato price index measure?
It measures price movement for a defined basket of exported potato products or destinations.
Why does currency treatment matter?
Exchange-rate changes can alter reported export prices even when local-currency contract prices are stable.
Can destination mix change the index?
Yes. Shifting volume toward higher- or lower-value markets can move the aggregate.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.