Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Farm Income Forecast
A potato farm income forecast combines marketable yield, contracted and open-market prices, quality adjustments, storage outcomes, and cost timing. Growers and lenders can separate covered from exposed volume and test base, downside, and upside revenue cases.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato farm income forecast estimates expected farm revenue and earnings from marketable potatoes over a crop or fiscal period. The forecast should combine saleable yield, fixed and open-market prices, quality premiums and deductions, insurance or other eligible income, storage outcomes, and the timing of operating costs and sales.
Use the forecast by separating contracted volume from price-exposed volume and building base, downside, and upside cases around yield, quality, storage loss, and sale timing. Regional price and crop context keeps the revenue assumptions tied to markets the farm can actually access.
Data Module
Farm income forecast context
Marketable yieldsaleable tonnes by crop and quality
Contract revenuecovered volume and agreed pricing
Open exposureuncontracted volume and market assumptions
Qualitypremiums, deductions, and storage loss
Cash timingharvest, storage, sales, and expense dates
Decision useacreage, liquidity, and repayment planning
Analysis
Why this matters
Farm income can deteriorate even when headline potato prices are stable because marketable yield, quality, or timing changes. A storage loss or quality deduction reduces the tonnes receiving the expected price and can create a larger revenue effect than a modest market move.
The forecast should therefore show which variables actually drive repayment and margin. Contracted farms may be more sensitive to yield than price, while open-market growers may carry both production and price risk. Treating those structures separately produces much more useful planning ranges.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for potato growers, agricultural lenders, farm managers, processors, and advisers that need a forward estimate of farm income. A potato farm income forecast combines expected marketable yield, contract and open-market prices, quality premiums or deductions, crop insurance, storage outcomes, government payments where applicable, and the full timing of operating expenses. MassGain’s potato data suite provides regional price, crop, storage, and demand context so revenue assumptions are tied to the markets the farm can realistically access.
The forecast should separate gross production from saleable production and distinguish fixed contract volume from exposure that remains open. MassGain helps users build base, downside, and upside cases around yield, quality, storage loss, and price realization. This makes it easier to see whether projected profitability depends on an unusually strong crop, a favorable spot market, or assumptions that are already protected through contracts.
Growers can use the forecast for acreage and marketing decisions, while lenders can test repayment capacity and seasonal liquidity. MassGain does not replace farm accounts, tax advice, or borrower financial statements. It supplies the independent physical-market evidence needed to make income forecasts more realistic, explainable, and responsive as crop and market conditions change.
Use Case
A grower budgets near-trend yield and stable processing-contract revenue. MassGain shows rising storage-quality risk and weaker open-market prices for the uncontracted portion. The lender models a lower marketable-yield case and a delayed-sales case, then sizes a seasonal liquidity buffer without changing the assumptions for the fully contracted acreage.
FAQs
What belongs in a potato farm income forecast?
Marketable yield, prices, contracts, quality, insurance, storage, expenses, and sale timing are core inputs.
Why separate contracted and open volume?
The two portions can face very different price, timing, and market-access risks.
How does MassGain support the forecast?
It supplies regional crop, price, storage, demand, and historical context for scenario planning.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.