Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Farm Output Price
Potato farm output price measures producer-stage value before most downstream freight, packing, processing, and retail costs. Matching region, end use, quality, channel, and period helps growers and lenders benchmark revenue on the correct market basis.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato farm output price is a producer-stage measure of the value received for potatoes before most downstream processing, packing, freight, and retail margins. A usable series should specify region, crop use, variety, quality, contract status, unit, and marketing period so unlike producer markets are not blended together.
Use the data to benchmark farm revenue, contract performance, and regional competitiveness. Pairing the price with acreage, marketable yield, storage, and processor demand helps explain whether movement comes from broad scarcity, sales timing, product mix, or quality premiums.
Data Module
Farm output price context
Producer stagevalue at farm or first-sale level
Regionrelevant growing market
Productvariety, quality, and crop use
Channelcontract or open market
Timingcrop year and marketing period
Decision userevenue, contracts, and regional comparison
Analysis
Why this matters
Producer prices can diverge from wholesale or consumer prices because downstream freight, processing, packaging, and distribution costs move independently. That makes farm output price especially useful for isolating what portion of value is actually reaching the grower.
The measure can also move differently by channel. Contracted processing potatoes may remain stable while open fresh-market prices rise, so users should avoid applying the headline series to farms whose marketing structure does not match the constituents.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for potato growers, processors, agricultural lenders, analysts, and policy teams that need a producer-level measure of potato value. A potato farm output price reflects the price received or attributed to potatoes at the farm stage, before downstream processing, wholesale, retail, and most transportation margins. The series must be defined by region, crop use, variety, quality, contract status, unit, and marketing period. MassGain’s potato data suite helps keep those distinctions visible so users do not compare incompatible producer markets.
The measure can support analysis of revenue, contract performance, regional competitiveness, and price transmission. MassGain connects farm output values with acreage, yield, storage, processor demand, marketable production, and historical seasonal patterns. This helps explain whether a change reflects broader scarcity, a different product mix, quality premiums, or timing of sales.
Growers can use the benchmark in marketing decisions, processors in contract reviews, and lenders in revenue and collateral scenarios. MassGain does not reveal private contracts or establish the price a grower should receive. It provides an independent physical-market framework for comparing farm-stage values, tracking changes over time, and separating producer-price movement from freight, processing, packaging, and downstream commercial margins.
Use Case
A lender sees a national farm output price rise and considers increasing revenue assumptions for all potato borrowers. MassGain shows the increase is concentrated in open processing supply in one province, while contracted fresh-market growers remain stable. The lender updates only the borrowers whose crop and marketing channel match the stronger constituent.
FAQs
What is a potato farm output price?
It is a producer-stage value for a defined potato product, region, period, and commercial channel.
Why can farm output prices differ from wholesale prices?
Wholesale values may include packing, handling, freight, storage, and downstream margins.
How does MassGain make the measure useful?
It aligns product, region, timing, quality, contracts, and historical market context.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.