Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Farm Risk Score
A potato farm risk score combines borrower-specific financial and operating factors with the external potato market surrounding the farm. MassGain supplies regional crop, price, storage, and availability context so lenders can see which components drive risk instead of relying on an opaque composite number.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato farm risk score is a structured summary of the financial, agronomic, contractual, and market exposures affecting a potato operation. Useful components can include liquidity, leverage, contract coverage, buyer concentration, crop and weather risk, irrigation, insurance, storage, yield variability, quality history, and regional price conditions.
MassGain supplies the external market inputs needed to keep the score responsive to the farm's actual varieties, acreage, buyers, and sales periods. The score should retain component-level visibility so users can see what changed rather than relying on an unexplained composite number.
Data Module
Farm risk-score context
Financialliquidity, leverage, and repayment capacity
Cropyield, weather, and quality exposure
Coveragecontracts, insurance, and buyer dependence
Water and storageproduction and inventory resilience
Marketregional price and availability conditions
Decision usescreening, monitoring, and review cadence
Analysis
Why this matters
Two farms in the same county can carry very different risk because contracts, water access, buyers, storage, and varieties differ. A regional market shock should therefore change the score only through the components actually exposed.
Explainability is essential. A higher composite risk score should be traceable to specific assumptions such as reduced marketable yield, weaker liquidity, or increased buyer concentration. MassGain can provide the market context, while lenders retain control of credit weighting and final judgment.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for agricultural lenders, insurers, processors, investors, and farm-risk teams that need a consistent way to summarize the major risks affecting a potato operation. A potato farm risk score can combine financial strength, liquidity, leverage, contract coverage, buyer concentration, crop and weather exposure, irrigation, insurance, storage, yield variability, quality performance, and regional market conditions. The score is most useful when its components remain visible rather than collapsing every factor into an unexplained number.
MassGain’s potato data suite provides the independent market layer needed to update those components through the season. Regional prices, crop progress, storage conditions, supply availability, and historical volatility can be matched to the farm’s actual varieties, buyers, acreage, and sales periods. This helps distinguish broad regional stress from borrower-specific weakness and prevents a temporary market headline from mechanically changing every rating.
The score can support screening, annual reviews, monitoring cadence, and portfolio concentration analysis. MassGain does not assign a lender’s final credit grade or replace financial statements, collateral inspection, agronomy, insurance, and judgment. It provides transparent external inputs that make the score more responsive, explainable, and specific to the farm’s real potato-market exposure.
Use Case
A bank scores two potato farms in the same county. One has fixed processing contracts, irrigation security, and diversified buyers; the other relies on open sales, one buyer, and vulnerable storage. MassGain adds regional crop and price conditions, showing that the second farm’s risk rises materially during late storage while the first remains stable. Monitoring is adjusted accordingly.
FAQs
What can a potato farm risk score include?
Financial, crop, contract, buyer, insurance, water, storage, quality, price, and regional concentration factors can be included.
Why should the score remain explainable?
Users need to know which specific assumptions changed and whether the risk is market-wide or borrower-specific.
How does MassGain contribute?
It supplies regional crop, price, storage, availability, and volatility inputs matched to the farm’s exposure.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.