Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Field Level Yield Forecast
A potato field level yield forecast estimates expected production for an individual field from variety, planting date, crop stage, weather, soil, irrigation, observations, and historical performance. MassGain adds regional context so growers, processors, and lenders can see whether a field is tracking normally and how gross yield converts into usable supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato field-level yield forecast estimates expected production for an individual field using variety, planting date, crop stage, weather, soil, irrigation, field observations, historical performance, and harvest timing. It should be expressed as a range and updated as new crop evidence arrives.
MassGain adds regional crop and historical context so growers, processors, and lenders can determine whether a field is tracking normally or diverging from its surrounding production basin.
Data Module
Field yield forecast context
Fieldindividual production unit
Varietyplanted potato type
Crop stagecurrent development point
Weather and waterlocal growing conditions
Historical yieldfield and regional comparison
Decision useharvest, contract, and intake planning
Analysis
Why this matters
Gross field yield is not the same as usable processor or fresh-market supply. Solids, size, defects, harvest loss, and specification determine how much of the crop can serve the intended channel.
MassGain helps connect field tonnes with regional expectations and downstream requirements. That makes the forecast useful for plant coverage and credit analysis rather than merely agronomic reporting.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for growers, agronomists, processors, lenders, and crop-risk teams that need a forward estimate of potato yield at the individual-field level. A field-level yield forecast combines planting date, variety, crop development, weather, soil and water conditions, field observations, historical performance, and harvest timing to produce a range rather than a single unsupported number. MassGain’s potato data suite provides broader regional crop, market, and historical context that can help users interpret whether one field is tracking normally or diverging from its surrounding production basin.
For growers, the forecast can support harvest sequencing, storage planning, marketing, and discussions with buyers. Processors can aggregate field outlooks across a contract program to estimate plant intake and identify where coverage is concentrated. Lenders and risk teams may use the same information to test marketable production and seasonal liquidity assumptions, while recognizing that quality and specification determine usable output as much as gross tonnes.
MassGain does not replace field scouting, agronomy, or grower records. It helps connect field estimates with regional evidence, historical ranges, and downstream supply needs so yield uncertainty can be managed earlier and updated as the crop develops.
Use Case
A processor’s grower program covers several hundred fields, but crop development is uneven after a hot planting season. Field-level forecasts are aggregated by variety, delivery month, and plant. MassGain adds regional crop and historical yield context, revealing that total tonnes may remain near plan while high-solids volume for one facility is at risk. The processor advances scouting on the exposed fields, reserves a flexible alternate-origin tranche, and leaves the better-positioned plants unchanged.
FAQs
What inputs support a field-level potato yield forecast?
Variety, planting date, weather, soil, irrigation, crop stage, field observations, and historical field performance are common inputs.
Is gross field yield the same as usable processor supply?
No. Size, solids, defects, harvest loss, and specification compliance determine marketable or processable volume.
How does MassGain add value to field forecasts?
It connects field estimates with regional crop conditions, historical ranges, prices, and downstream supply exposure.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.