Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Fob Price
A potato FOB price is an origin-based value under a defined commercial term, with the named location, product, grade, package, crop period, and loading responsibility made explicit. MassGain connects the origin benchmark with regional supply and route economics so buyers can build a transparent bridge from FOB to delivered usable cost.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato FOB price is an origin-based price under a defined commercial term, such as farm, shipping point, or port. A valid comparison requires clarity on the named location, product, grade, package, loading responsibility, crop period, and where freight risk transfers.
Use FOB data to isolate the commodity value at origin and then build a delivered-cost bridge using freight, fuel, handling, shrink, border charges, and service requirements. This helps buyers separate potato-market movement from logistics.
Data Module
Potato FOB context
Named originfarm, shipping point, or port
Productvariety, grade, size, and pack
Loading basiscommercial transfer terms
Freightexcluded or allocated under the term
Timingcrop and delivery window
Decision useorigin comparison and delivered-cost modeling
Analysis
Why this matters
FOB comparisons are powerful only when the basis is aligned. A lower origin quote can become more expensive after freight, shrink, or loading differences, and two sellers may use similar terminology while including different services.
The analytical value is decomposition. When FOB prices rise while freight falls, delivered cost may stay stable; when the origin is unchanged but equipment tightens, the delivered increase is logistics-driven. Keeping the layers separate improves negotiation and source selection.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, shippers, processors, distributors, importers, and procurement teams that need to understand a potato FOB price. FOB identifies the named origin or shipment point and allocates freight and risk responsibilities according to the agreed commercial term. MassGain helps users define whether the price is farm, shipping-point, port, or another FOB basis before comparing it with delivered alternatives.
The distinction matters because a low FOB price can become expensive after freight, fuel, handling, border charges, transit loss, and service requirements are included. Two FOB quotes may also represent different varieties, grades, packages, crop periods, or loading obligations. MassGain places each origin value beside regional market history, crop and storage conditions, available supply, and practical transportation lanes. Buyers can build a transparent landed-cost bridge, while growers and shippers can evaluate origin-market competitiveness. The result is a properly defined origin price that helps teams identify whether cost movement comes from the potatoes themselves or from the logistics required to reach the destination.
Use Case
A wholesaler compares FOB russet offers from Idaho and Colorado for eastern and western branches. MassGain confirms Idaho is cheaper at origin but current freight makes Colorado more competitive for the eastern destinations. Procurement splits the award and preserves the FOB references for separate commodity and freight negotiations.
FAQs
What does FOB mean in potato pricing?
It identifies a named origin and assigns freight and risk responsibilities under the agreed sale terms.
Can two FOB prices be compared directly?
Only when product, quality, package, crop period, loading terms, and origin basis are aligned.
How does MassGain convert FOB to delivered economics?
It combines the origin benchmark with route-specific freight, handling, shrink, and destination requirements.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.