Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Food Balance Sheet
A potato food balance sheet reconciles supply and use through production, imports, exports, stocks, food, processing, seed, feed, losses, and residual categories. MassGain keeps geography, crop year, units, product scope, and market accessibility visible so aggregate balance can be translated into usable supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato Food Balance Sheet accounts for supply and use over a defined period through production, imports, exports, beginning and ending stocks, food, processing, seed, feed, losses, and residual categories. Definitions, units, geography, crop year, and product scope should remain explicit.
Use the balance to reconcile where potatoes entered the system and how they were allocated. Then segment by region, variety, quality, and end use because a comfortable national total may still leave processing-grade or late-storage supply tight.
Data Module
Potato Food Balance Monitor
Supplyproduction and beginning stocks
Tradeimports and exports
Usefood, processing, seed, feed
Stocksending inventory
Residuallosses and statistical balance
Decision usesupply-use reconciliation
Analysis
Why this matters
A balanced national sheet does not guarantee balance in every potato market. Processing-grade supply can be tight while table potatoes are abundant, and residual or stock revisions can move the apparent balance. Commercial interpretation requires accessible, product-specific supply.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for market analysts, processors, policy teams, and procurement leaders that need a structured potato food balance sheet. A balance sheet accounts for available supply and its uses over a defined period, typically combining production, imports, exports, beginning and ending stocks, food use, processing, seed, feed, losses, and other residual categories. MassGain helps users align definitions, units, geography, crop year, and product scope before drawing conclusions from the headline balance.
The framework is especially useful because total supply does not equal supply available to every buyer. A country may appear comfortable overall while processing-grade potatoes, a particular variety, or late-storage inventory remains tight. Statistical residuals and revisions can also change the apparent balance. MassGain connects each component with regional prices, crop quality, storage, processor activity, trade flows, and commercial commitments. Procurement teams can identify which supply categories are genuinely accessible, processors can test raw-material coverage, and researchers can reconcile conflicting production and utilization reports. The result is a transparent supply-use account that shows where potatoes entered the system, how they were allocated, and which segments carry the most uncertainty.
Use Case
A national processor reviews a food balance sheet showing comfortable total supply. MassGain separates food use, processing, seed, feed, trade, and stock change and finds processing-grade availability is tighter than the headline balance. Procurement preserves supplemental coverage for its factories and avoids reducing contracts based on aggregate national supply.
FAQs
What belongs in a potato food balance sheet?
Production, trade, stocks, food, processing, seed, feed, losses, and residual uses are common components.
Why can a balanced national sheet hide shortages?
Variety, quality, location, contracts, and end-use requirements can constrain specific markets.
How does MassGain make the balance actionable?
It connects supply-use components with prices, quality, storage, processor demand, and market accessibility.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.