Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Frost Risk
Potato frost risk varies with temperature, duration, crop stage, variety, soil, and harvest progress. MassGain connects credible frost evidence with regional acreage, quality, prices, and replacement supply so users can model commercial consequences without inferring field damage from weather alone.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato frost risk is the potential commercial effect of freezing temperatures on emergence, canopy, tuber development, harvest, storage, and marketable yield. The exposure depends on temperature, duration, crop stage, variety, soil, field elevation, harvest status, and the geographic extent of the event.
MassGain can connect frost evidence with regional acreage, crop progress, quality, harvest timing, prices, and alternate supply. This supports targeted credit and procurement scenarios while field-level damage assessment remains with qualified agronomic and insurance professionals.
Data Module
Frost risk context
Weathertemperature and duration of exposure
Regionaffected production basin
Crop stageemergence, growth, maturity, or harvest
Quality pathusable yield and storage suitability
Replacement supplyalternative regional coverage
Decision usecrop, credit, and sourcing stress
Analysis
Why this matters
Frost timing matters as much as temperature. An early-season event may affect stand and recovery potential, while a pre-harvest frost can create immediate quality and storage concerns for crop that is nearly marketable.
The market effect also depends on concentration. A severe local frost can remain commercially contained when substitute supply is broad, while a modest event across a dominant production basin can move replacement economics quickly. MassGain helps map that consequence rather than infer field loss from weather alone.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for agricultural lenders, insurers, processors, growers, and supply-chain risk teams that need to understand how frost may affect potato emergence, canopy, tuber development, harvest, storage, and marketable yield. Potato frost risk depends on timing, temperature, duration, crop stage, soil conditions, variety, field elevation, and whether irrigation or other protective measures are available. An early frost and a late pre-harvest frost can create very different commercial consequences.
MassGain’s potato data suite helps users connect frost events and forecasts with regional acreage, crop progress, expected yield, quality, harvest timing, storage outlook, and prices. This provides a clearer view of whether the event is likely to be isolated, whether several suppliers share the same exposure, and which varieties or delivery windows could tighten first. Historical comparisons can help frame plausible rather than purely hypothetical scenarios.
The analysis supports credit monitoring, crop-insurance review, procurement coverage, and regional stress testing. MassGain does not predict field-level damage, prescribe crop protection, or replace agronomists and adjusters. It provides the physical-market context needed to translate credible frost evidence into estimates of usable-volume loss, delayed harvest, replacement cost, borrower liquidity, and supply-continuity risk.
Use Case
A forecast calls for an early autumn frost across a basin supplying two processing plants. MassGain maps crop maturity, harvest progress, variety, and regional replacement supply. One plant is largely covered by harvested inventory, while the other depends on late fields. Procurement advances selected harvests and reserves alternate volume; the lender stresses only the exposed borrowers.
FAQs
What determines potato frost risk?
Temperature, duration, crop stage, variety, soil, field location, and harvest status all influence potential damage.
Why can frost affect marketable supply more than total yield?
Quality, storage suitability, harvestability, and buyer specifications can reduce usable volume even when tonnes remain.
How does MassGain support frost analysis?
It connects weather evidence with crop progress, acreage, quality, prices, harvest timing, and alternate supply.
Put this market intelligence to work
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.