Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Groundwater Risk
Potato groundwater risk links aquifer availability, pumping restrictions, well capacity, water quality, and energy cost with acreage and production exposure. MassGain helps lenders and processors identify when a water issue is temporary versus a structural constraint on regional potato supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato groundwater risk is the production and financial exposure created by declining aquifers, pumping restrictions, falling well capacity, water-quality issues, or rising lift and electricity costs in groundwater-dependent potato regions. The market object should identify basin, acreage, crop stage, irrigation dependence, and contract exposure.
MassGain can connect groundwater evidence with regional acreage, historical yield, crop progress, production cost, processor demand, and potato prices. Lenders and processors can use that context to distinguish a temporary pumping-cost issue from a structural constraint on acreage or long-term supply reliability.
Data Module
Groundwater risk context
Basinaquifer or groundwater system
Dependenceshare of acreage reliant on pumping
Availabilitywell capacity and regulatory constraints
Costpumping and electricity exposure
Production effectacreage, yield, and quality sensitivity
Decision uselending, sourcing, and regional concentration
Analysis
Why this matters
Groundwater risk often develops slowly but can become structurally important. A farm may remain productive while pumping costs rise, then face a more abrupt change when well capacity or regulation constrains irrigation at a critical crop stage.
The regional concentration matters because many nominally independent growers can share the same aquifer. MassGain helps expose that common dependency and connect water stress to likely acreage, cost, and supply consequences rather than treating each borrower in isolation.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for agricultural lenders, insurers, processors, growers, and portfolio risk teams that need to understand how groundwater availability and cost may affect potato production and financial performance. Potato groundwater risk includes declining aquifers, pumping restrictions, falling well capacity, higher lift and electricity costs, water-quality issues, and uncertainty around future allocations. The commercial effect depends on crop stage, irrigation dependence, soil, region, variety, contract obligations, and the availability of alternative water sources.
MassGain’s potato data suite connects groundwater indicators with acreage, crop progress, yield history, production cost, regional prices, and processor demand. This helps users distinguish a temporary pumping-cost increase from a structural constraint capable of reducing planted area, usable yield, or long-term supply reliability. Geospatial analysis can also reveal when multiple borrowers or supplier programs depend on the same aquifer.
The intelligence supports underwriting, portfolio concentration reviews, processor sourcing strategy, and climate or water stress tests. MassGain does not measure individual wells, determine water rights, or replace hydrogeologists and agronomists. It provides the regional market layer needed to translate credible groundwater evidence into scenarios for higher operating cost, lower production, tighter supply, and changes in borrower liquidity or plant coverage.
Use Case
A lender finances potato growers across two irrigated basins. MassGain shows that one basin faces declining well capacity and higher pumping costs while the second has stable water access. The bank models lower marketable yield and higher electricity expense for borrowers in the stressed aquifer, requests updated water and well reports, and limits additional portfolio concentration there without applying the same assumptions to the better-positioned region.
FAQs
What creates potato groundwater risk?
Aquifer decline, pumping limits, well performance, water quality, energy cost, and dependence on groundwater can all matter.
Why can groundwater risk become a supply issue?
Reduced or more expensive irrigation can lower acreage, yield, quality, and the reliability of contracted production.
How does MassGain support groundwater analysis?
It connects regional water evidence with acreage, yield, costs, prices, contracts, and shared geographic exposure.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.