Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Grower Breakeven Yield
Potato grower breakeven yield measures the marketable production per acre required to cover a defined farm cost base. MassGain connects seed, fertilizer, irrigation, labor, land, harvest, storage, finance, contracts, quality loss, and expected net price so growers and lenders can compare fields on revenue-bearing yield.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato-grower-breakeven-yield data estimates the marketable tonnes per acre needed for expected revenue to cover a defined production and marketing cost base. The market object is the field or enterprise by variety, contract, crop use, input budget, quality loss, storage, freight, and financing.
Use the data to distinguish gross field yield from accepted saleable output and to stress price, seed, fertilizer, labor, irrigation, machinery, land, interest, harvest, storage, and quality. Compare fields and contracts on the same marketable-yield basis.
Data Module
Potato Grower Breakeven Yield
Market objectrequired marketable yield per acre
Primary measureyield needed to cover defined costs
Key dimensionsfield, variety, contract, crop year
Commercial useplanting, contract, and credit analysis
Cost contextinputs, land, harvest, storage, finance
Compare withexpected yield and net price
Analysis
Why this matters
A strong biological yield can still miss breakeven when defects, size, storage loss, or contract deductions reduce saleable tonnes. Field yield and revenue-bearing yield are different measures.
Commercial interpretation should stress both price and quality-adjusted output. Marginal acreage can become uneconomic even when the farm's average yield remains acceptable.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers and producers, agricultural lenders, processor grower-relations teams, and farm advisers that need potato grower breakeven yield. Breakeven yield is the marketable production per acre required for expected crop revenue to cover the defined cost of planting, growing, harvesting, storing, and marketing potatoes under a stated price and contract structure.
MassGain organizes seed, fertilizer, chemicals, irrigation, labor, machinery, land, interest, custom work, harvest, storage, freight, quality deductions, and overhead alongside contract prices, open-market assumptions, premiums, and insurance. Growers can calculate breakeven separately by field, variety, buyer, and production system. Lenders can stress repayment capacity. Processors can understand whether proposed contract terms support sustainable acreage. The model distinguishes gross field yield from accepted tonnes after size, defects, shrink, and quality.
MassGain does not set farm budgets or recommend planting decisions. It provides a transparent enterprise framework showing which costs and prices drive the required yield and how weather, quality, input inflation, storage duration, or contract changes alter the threshold. That helps users compare acreage choices without relying on an average yield detached from the actual commercial program.
Use Case
A grower evaluates a processing contract at $240 per tonne. MassGain includes field costs, storage, interest, expected 8% quality loss, and contract premiums and calculates a breakeven marketable yield of 44 tonnes per acre. One marginal field falls below the downside threshold and is assigned to a less costly crop.
FAQs
How is potato breakeven yield calculated?
Divide defined per-acre cost by expected net revenue per accepted unit, adjusting for quality and marketing terms.
Why use marketable rather than field yield?
Rejection, defects, size, shrink, and storage loss determine how much production actually earns revenue.
How does MassGain stress the result?
It varies price, costs, yield, quality, storage, interest, premiums, and contract terms.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.