Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Harvest Forecast
A potato harvest forecast estimates expected volume, timing, and quality from acreage, yield, maturity, weather, field access, and marketable recovery. Separating final production from harvest pace helps processors plan intake, storage, freight, and supplemental supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato harvest forecast estimates the volume, timing, and quality of potatoes likely to be harvested across a crop period. Core inputs include acreage, yield, maturity, weather, field access, abandonment, harvest progress, marketable recovery, variety, and regional sequence.
Use the forecast to distinguish final production from harvest pace. Linking the expected flow with storage, processor intake, contract coverage, freight, and quality shows whether a problem is about total tonnes, a temporary timing bottleneck, or a shortfall in commercially usable supply.
Data Module
Harvest forecast context
Areaplanted and harvestable acreage
Yieldexpected tonnes per acre
Timingmaturity and harvest progress
Qualitymarketable recovery and specification fit
Regional flowsequence of harvest across basins
Decision useintake, storage, sourcing, and liquidity planning
Analysis
Why this matters
A normal final crop can coexist with a tight market during harvest if weather compresses digging, storage fills, or plant intake cannot absorb the flow. Conversely, a smaller crop may create little immediate stress when contracts and alternate regions are well covered.
The analytical task is to separate quantity, timing, and quality. That distinction determines whether the response should be more trucks, more storage, supplemental supply, or a revised annual production assumption.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, processors, packers, lenders, merchants, and supply-chain planners that need a broader forecast of potato harvest volume, timing, and quality. A potato harvest forecast combines planted acreage, crop development, expected yield, abandonment, maturity, weather, field access, harvest progress, marketable recovery, variety, and regional sequence. MassGain’s potato data suite helps translate those factors into commercially relevant supply rather than focusing on gross tonnes alone.
The forecast can show when volume is likely to enter storage or processing, which regions may be delayed, and where quality or size distribution could differ from plan. MassGain helps users compare current evidence with historical harvest patterns, regional prices, contract coverage, and available alternate supply. Scenario ranges are especially important when weather or field conditions can change the pace quickly.
Growers can use the outlook for labor, storage, and marketing; processors for intake and plant planning; and lenders for crop and liquidity scenarios. MassGain does not replace field scouting or official production estimates. It provides a transparent physical-market framework that connects harvest assumptions with quality, timing, contracts, storage, and downstream demand so teams can respond proportionately as evidence changes.
Use Case
Wet weather slows harvest in a processing basin, but the expected final crop remains near trend. MassGain shows the main risk is timing and quality, not total tonnes. The processor advances harvest on accessible fields, reserves freight from another region, and modifies plant schedules without making a full-season emergency purchase.
FAQs
What does a potato harvest forecast include?
Acreage, yield, crop maturity, weather, field access, progress, quality, variety, and regional timing are core inputs.
Why separate harvest pace from final production?
A normal crop can still create temporary shortages, intake gaps, or quality problems when harvest is delayed.
How does MassGain make the forecast actionable?
It links harvest scenarios with prices, plants, contracts, storage, freight, and alternate supply.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.