Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Historical Transaction Data
Potato historical transaction data provides a versioned record of completed physical trades with the basis needed for like-for-like comparison. Procurement and market teams can use it to study seasonality, spreads, liquidity, and past disruption without hindsight from later revisions.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato historical transaction data preserves completed physical trades with the price, product, region, quality, volume, delivery period, spot or contract status, freight basis, source, and observation date needed for longitudinal analysis. The object should also retain revisions and the data vintage available at each historical point.
Use the history to study seasonality, volatility, regional spreads, liquidity, contract-versus-spot relationships, disruption behavior, and benchmark performance. Normalize units and definitions and separate trades from quotes or assessments before backtesting.
Data Module
Potato Historical Transaction Data
ObjectVersioned archive of completed physical trades
FieldsPrice, volume, product, region, quality, delivery
ContextSpot/contract status, freight basis, source, date
Commercial useSeasonality, benchmarking, backtesting, negotiation
Data controlPreserve revisions and historical vintages
WatchpointObserved trades are not a complete private-market census
Analysis
Why this matters
Historical transactions matter because they show how markets actually behaved through crop and storage regimes rather than relying on memory or annual averages. They can reveal whether today's dispersion or premium is unusual for the season.
Vintage preservation is essential for honest backtesting. Using revised data that was unavailable at the time can make a benchmark or forecast appear more accurate than it really was.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement analysts, processors, benchmark developers, lenders, and researchers that need a reliable history of completed potato-market activity. Potato historical transaction data preserves prices together with the product, region, quality, volume, delivery period, contract or spot status, freight basis, source, and observation date required for meaningful comparison.
Historical trades support more than a price chart. They allow users to measure seasonality, volatility, regional spreads, liquidity, contract-versus-spot relationships, forecast error, and the behavior of markets during crop or storage disruptions. MassGain normalizes units and product definitions, tracks revisions and duplicates, separates transactions from quotes or assessments, and preserves the data vintage available at each point in time. That prevents hindsight from silently changing a backtest or contract review.
Procurement can compare a supplier proposal with relevant prior transactions, finance can build scenario ranges, and benchmark administrators can test methodology and representativeness. Analysts can identify periods where one outlier trade drove the market or where activity became too thin for a confident conclusion. MassGain does not claim that the dataset contains every private agreement. It provides a transparent, governed record of observed transactions and clearly states coverage limits, making historical evidence useful without treating it as a complete census of the potato market.
Use Case
A processor reviews five years of transactions before renewing late-storage supply. MassGain shows that current spot premiums are high but not unprecedented and usually persisted for four to seven weeks when storage quality tightened. Procurement uses that history to structure a temporary review clause rather than accepting a permanent base-price increase.
FAQs
What fields should historical potato transactions include?
Useful fields include date, region, product, quality, volume, unit, delivery period, freight basis, market channel, and source type.
Why preserve historical data vintages?
Vintage history shows what information was available at the time and prevents revisions from distorting backtests.
Does historical transaction data include every private contract?
No. MassGain presents observed coverage and limitations rather than claiming a complete market census.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.