Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Inventory Drawdown Rate
Potato inventory drawdown rate measures how quickly a defined stock position declines through sales, processing, transfers, releases, and losses. Comparing the pace by region and specification with seasonal history and replacement timing helps processors see where usable supply may tighten before headline stocks look low.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato inventory drawdown rate measures how quickly a defined stock position declines through sales, processing, transfers, losses, or releases. The rate should be segmented by region, variety, grade, crop year, and end use and compared with normal seasonal patterns.
Use the data to estimate how long commercially usable inventory will last and whether replacement supply or new crop is likely to arrive before coverage becomes tight. Fast drawdown in one specification can matter even when total stocks look normal.
Data Module
Inventory drawdown context
Starting stockdefined usable inventory
Movementsales, processing, and releases
Lossesshrink and quality deterioration
Ratedecline per period
Seasonal benchmarkhistorical pace at same crop stage
Decision usereplenishment and crop-transition planning
Analysis
Why this matters
The same inventory level can imply different risk depending on drawdown speed. A comfortable stock position can become vulnerable quickly when demand accelerates or quality removes usable tonnes.
Specification-level drawdown is especially important. High-solids, premium grade, or large-count inventories can exhaust faster than aggregate potatoes, creating tightness before headline stocks signal a problem.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for distributors, wholesalers, processors, storage operators, and analysts that need to measure how quickly potato inventory is being consumed or released. A potato inventory drawdown rate tracks the decline in stored stock over time and helps show whether supply is moving faster or slower than expected. MassGain connects that rate with historical seasonality, prices, crop timing, demand, storage quality, and replacement availability.
Drawdown is meaningful only when the inventory definition is clear. Total stocks may decline normally while one critical variety or grade disappears rapidly, or a slow drawdown may reflect weak demand, quality concerns, or deliberate holding. MassGain helps users compare current movement with prior seasons and identify whether the pace is likely to create a late-season shortage, excess carryover, or a storage-quality problem. This supports purchasing, storage-release decisions, sales planning, processor coverage, and lender monitoring. The result is an early-warning indicator that explains not just how much inventory remains, but how quickly commercially usable supply is changing relative to the time left before new crop.
Use Case
A processor sees total regional potato stocks near normal but MassGain identifies an unusually rapid drawdown in high-solids lots. Procurement advances contract deliveries, reserves limited alternate supply, and avoids waiting for the aggregate stock report to reveal a shortage that is already developing in the required specification.
FAQs
What is potato inventory drawdown rate?
It is the pace at which defined stored inventory declines over a period through sales, processing, losses, or releases.
Why compare drawdown with historical seasonality?
The same inventory level can imply different risk depending on how quickly stock normally moves at that point in the crop year.
How does MassGain make drawdown actionable?
It links the rate with product mix, prices, demand, storage quality, crop timing, and replacement availability.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.