Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Mop Top Virus Risk
Potato mop-top virus risk describes commercial exposure when PMTV and its soil-borne vector threaten quality, eligibility, or buyer specifications. Procurement can monitor compliant supply, testing, variety exposure, seed availability, and alternate origins rather than relying on gross crop volume alone.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato mop-top virus risk describes the commercial exposure created when PMTV and its soil-borne vector threaten tuber quality, seed movement, or processing suitability. The object should identify affected geography, variety, field or lot evidence, crop stage, testing status, buyer specification, and permitted movement.
Use risk data with marketable supply, quality testing, processor specifications, seed availability, regional prices, and alternate origins. Gross crop volume may remain normal while specification-compliant supply tightens.
Data Module
Potato Mop-Top Virus Risk
ObjectPMTV-related supply and quality exposure
DimensionsRegion, variety, field or lot, crop stage
Commercial useQuality, sourcing, and seed-risk planning
ComparisonCompliant supply and alternate origins
ImpactRejection, downgrade, testing, segregation
WatchpointUsable supply can fall without lower gross tonnage
Analysis
Why this matters
Mop-top matters because internal tuber symptoms can remove potatoes from sensitive processing uses even when harvest volume is intact. The resulting scarcity is therefore specification-specific rather than purely tonnage-driven.
The market signal should track compliant supply and replacement cost. A localized disease issue can create a strong basis premium for tested lots if the affected variety is important to one product or plant.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, seed producers, processors, lenders, and supply-chain risk teams that need to understand potato mop-top virus risk. Potato mop-top virus is associated with powdery scab vectors and can cause internal tuber symptoms that reduce marketability, processing suitability, and seed movement options. Risk depends on infected soil, vector presence, variety, field history, climate, testing, and the requirements of buyers or certification programs. MassGain helps users connect agronomic and regulatory concerns with physical supply and commercial exposure.
A mop-top event can affect more than the visibly damaged crop. It may restrict seed sources, reduce suitable processing volume, create additional testing or segregation costs, and concentrate future acreage in fewer regions. MassGain combines regional disease reports and official findings with variety availability, seed and commercial crop flows, quality premiums, processor specifications, and alternate origins. Growers can evaluate market and rotation consequences, processors can identify plants or products exposed to internal defects, and lenders can stress marketable yield rather than gross tonnage. MassGain does not provide diagnosis, treatment, or field-level agronomic advice. It provides a market-risk framework for understanding how disease pressure could change usable supply, contract performance, regional basis, and the cost of replacement potatoes.
Use Case
A processing region reports higher mop-top incidence in a variety used for a premium product. MassGain shows that total crop volume remains adequate but specification-compliant supply is tightening. Procurement reserves tested lots from another origin, operations redirects lower-risk potatoes to the sensitive line, and finance models a temporary quality premium.
FAQs
What creates potato mop-top virus risk?
Infected soil, vector presence, susceptible varieties, field history, climate, and movement of infected material can contribute.
Why can mop-top affect processor economics?
Internal symptoms can increase rejection, downgrade, testing, segregation, and replacement-supply costs.
How does MassGain support mop-top risk analysis?
It connects official disease evidence with varieties, regional supply, quality, prices, specifications, and alternate origins.
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Data and Methodology
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Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
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Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
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Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.