Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Movement by Origin
Potato movement by origin records outbound flow from producing regions, storage basins, shipping points, or import sources. Compare movement with harvest, storage drawdown, destination demand, freight, and prices to see which origins are carrying the market without mistaking contracted shipments for spot availability.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato movement-by-origin data records outbound flow from a defined producing region, storage basin, shipping point, or import source. The market object is movement volume by origin, variety, grade, package or bulk form, end use, transport mode, crop period, and reporting date.
Use the data to identify which origins are carrying current supply, compare movement with harvest and storage drawdown, and anticipate sourcing or freight pressure. Distinguish contracted, internal, export, and open-market flows where possible because movement is not the same as spot availability.
Data Module
Potato Movement by Origin
Market objectoutbound potato flow
Primary measuremovement volume by origin
Key dimensionsvariety, end use, mode, crop
Commercial usesourcing and supply-pressure analysis
Flow typescontract, internal, export, spot
Compare withharvest, storage, prices, destinations
Analysis
Why this matters
High outbound movement can signal strong demand or simply execution of previously contracted programs. Low movement can reflect delayed harvest or logistics rather than weak buying.
Commercial interpretation should connect flow with crop progress, storage, destination mix, and price. The key question is whether origin inventory is being depleted faster than replacement or harvest can replenish it.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement and market-intelligence teams that need to track potato movement by origin. Origin movement shows how much product is leaving each producing region, storage basin, shipping point, or import source and can reveal shifts in supply before they appear fully in headline prices. MassGain connects those flows with product definitions and the market conditions behind them.
The suite organizes movement by origin, variety, grade, package or bulk form, end use, transport mode, crop period, and reporting date. It compares outbound volume with harvest progress, storage holdings, regional prices, quality, freight, weather, and historical seasonal patterns. Procurement can see when buyers are substituting into a new basin, when a region is shipping faster than normal, or when low movement reflects delayed harvest rather than weak demand. Analysts can distinguish a genuine drawdown from a reporting or calendar effect.
This supports sourcing diversification, inventory planning, route allocation, and price forecasting. MassGain does not assume that every tonne leaving an origin is available to every buyer or that movement equals a new spot sale. It provides the context needed to interpret flows responsibly, including likely contractual status, destination mix, and product suitability, so teams can understand which origins are carrying the market and where pressure may emerge next.
Use Case
A frozen-potato processor notices outbound movement from its primary basin running ahead of the five-year seasonal range. MassGain shows the increase is headed mainly to export processors while storage quality is deteriorating locally. Procurement advances coverage from an alternate origin before remaining suitable stocks tighten.
FAQs
What does potato movement by origin show?
It shows reported outbound product flow from a defined producing, storage, or import region.
Is origin movement the same as spot availability?
No. Movement can include contracted, internal, export, or previously sold volume.
How does MassGain interpret unusual movement?
It compares flows with harvest, storage, price, quality, freight, destinations, and seasonal norms.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.