Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Non Domestic Producer Price
A potato non domestic producer price measures realization on export or foreign-market sales at the producer stage. Commercial and finance teams can use it with destination mix, freight, currency, and trade data to separate underlying pricing from route and FX effects.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato non-domestic producer price measures producer-level sales into export or foreign markets. It should be defined by product, destination, currency basis, delivery terms, contract period, and reporting method so the series reflects a consistent commercial object.
Use it to analyze export realization alongside shipment volume, customs unit values, destination mix, processing capacity, and regional potato costs. Separate currency and freight effects from like-for-like producer pricing before comparing the series with domestic sales.
Data Module
Potato Non-Domestic Producer Price
ObjectProducer price for foreign-market sales
DimensionsProduct, destination, currency, contract period
BasisProducer stage and delivery terms
Commercial useExport realization and margin analysis
ComparisonDomestic producer price, trade unit values
WatchpointCurrency and destination mix can dominate movement
Analysis
Why this matters
Export producer prices can diverge from domestic prices even when the underlying potato market is unchanged. Currency, destination competition, specifications, freight responsibility, and richer product mix can all move the reported value.
The commercial signal is strongest when price is decomposed from mix and exchange-rate effects. Otherwise a stronger export index may be mistaken for improved underlying pricing when it actually reflects where and what the producer sold.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for processors, exporters, finance teams, economists, and market analysts that need to understand potato producer prices for sales outside the domestic market. A non-domestic producer price measures defined export or foreign-market sales at the producer stage and should be interpreted by product, destination, currency treatment, delivery terms, contract period, and reporting methodology. MassGain helps users connect the series with physical trade and production conditions.
Non-domestic prices can diverge from domestic prices because export product mix, customer specifications, freight responsibilities, currency, tariffs, and competitive markets differ. An apparent increase may come from exchange-rate movement or a shift toward higher-value frozen or ingredient products rather than stronger like-for-like pricing. MassGain compares producer prices with export volume, unit values, destination concentration, regional potato supply, and processing capacity. Commercial teams can evaluate export realization, finance can separate price from currency and mix, and lenders can assess dependence on foreign-market margins. The result is a transparent export-oriented price reference that avoids treating every foreign sale or customs unit value as a directly comparable producer price.
Use Case
A frozen-potato exporter reports stronger non-domestic producer prices. MassGain shows half of the increase comes from currency and a larger share of specialty fries, while standard product pricing changed little. Finance adjusts the outlook without overstating underlying market strength.
FAQs
What is a non-domestic producer price?
It measures defined producer-level sales into foreign or export markets.
Why can it differ from domestic prices?
Destination mix, product specifications, freight, contracts, tariffs, and competition may differ.
How should currency effects be handled?
Currency movement should be separated from like-for-like local-currency pricing whenever possible.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.