Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Price Ceiling Agreement
A potato price ceiling agreement limits the maximum eligible settlement price for defined supply. Procurement teams can stress high-price crop scenarios and compare the cap with replacement economics, supplier exposure, quality terms, and volume flexibility.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato price-ceiling-agreement data records a maximum eligible settlement price, covered volume, benchmark, observation period, quality terms, freight, and any premium or sharing mechanism. The market object is the buyer's capped price exposure for defined potato supply.
Use the data to stress high-price crop years and compare the ceiling with replacement cost, supplier economics, and uncapped alternatives. Benchmark fit and volume conditions should be explicit.
Data Module
Potato Price Ceiling Agreement
Market objectmaximum-price contract protection
Primary measuresceiling level and capped volume
Key dimensionsbenchmark, volume, quality, crop year
Commercial useupside cost-protection analysis
Risk contextreplacement cost and supplier incentives
Compare withuncapped market and fixed price
Analysis
Why this matters
A ceiling can protect buyer cost while creating delivery or relationship pressure if the cap becomes far below a supplier's replacement economics. The contract price and physical market can therefore diverge.
Commercial interpretation should stress the cap against shortage scenarios and examine whether volume flexibility or other protections are needed.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement and market-intelligence teams that need to evaluate a potato price ceiling agreement. A ceiling limits the maximum eligible contract or settlement price, protecting buyers from extreme market increases while defining how suppliers are compensated within the structure. MassGain helps users test whether the ceiling is aligned with the relevant potato market and the risks being transferred.
The suite can organize ceiling level, benchmark, observation period, eligible volume, quality adjustments, freight, crop year, reset terms, and any premium paid for protection. Procurement can compare capped and uncapped supply. Growers can understand the upside surrendered and whether input or yield risk remains covered. Finance can stress high-price years. Analysts can backtest how frequently the ceiling would bind and whether the reference market reflects the supplier’s actual exposure.
A ceiling may create delivery or relationship risk if it becomes deeply detached from replacement cost. MassGain does not draft contracts or provide hedging advice. It supplies a transparent scenario and physical-market framework that helps users understand the value, basis risk, and behavioral incentives created by the cap before it is used in a long-term supply agreement.
Use Case
A restaurant supplier offers a multi-year potato contract with a ceiling tied to a regional benchmark. MassGain models severe crop-shortage years and shows the cap would fall below supplier replacement cost unless volume flexibility is added. The parties revise the structure before signing.
FAQs
What is a potato price ceiling?
It is a maximum eligible settlement price under the contract’s defined benchmark, volume, and timing rules.
What risk can a low ceiling create?
If it falls below replacement economics, suppliers may face delivery, quality, or relationship pressure.
How does MassGain test the ceiling?
It compares the cap with historical prices, forward scenarios, basis, quality, volume, and supplier cost exposure.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.