Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Price Pass Through Lag
The potato price pass through lag view aligns matched benchmarks with invoice or selling-price changes by supplier, plant, product, region, and contract. Procurement and finance can distinguish fixed coverage, formula timing, inventory, and review cycles to forecast when inflation or deflation should reach commercial pricing.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato price-pass-through-lag data measures the time between movement in a matched potato benchmark and the corresponding change in supplier, processor, distributor, or customer pricing. The market object is the lag by plant, supplier, product, region, contract structure, and pricing rule.
Use the data to forecast when upstream inflation or deflation should reach invoices and margins, distinguish fixed or indexed coverage, and schedule commercial reviews. Pair benchmark timing with inventory, crop calendars, formula periods, and finished-goods coverage.
Data Module
Potato Price Pass-Through Lag
Market objectbenchmark-to-invoice timing
Primary measureobserved or contractual lag
Key dimensionssupplier, product, plant, contract
Commercial usepricing and margin timing
Driverscoverage, inventory, formulas, reviews
Compare withbenchmark and invoice history
Analysis
Why this matters
A sharp spot move can be economically irrelevant to a supplier for months when grower contracts and inventory still cover production. Immediate pass-through would then misstate current exposure.
Commercial interpretation should distinguish contractual lag from behavioral lag. The expected timing can also change as old coverage expires, making one historical average insufficient.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, finance, and market-intelligence teams that need to measure the delay between a change in potato markets and the resulting change in supplier, processor, distributor, or customer prices. Pass-through lag reflects contracts, inventory, crop calendars, formula timing, review periods, and operational buffering. MassGain helps users identify the appropriate lag for each exposure rather than applying one generic delay.
The suite aligns upstream benchmarks with invoices and selling prices by plant, supplier, product, region, and contract. It can distinguish fixed grower coverage, spot purchases, indexed formulas, quarterly resets, and finished-goods inventory. Procurement can determine when a supplier is genuinely exposed to a market move. Finance can forecast when inflation or deflation reaches margins. Commercial teams can time customer price reviews more accurately.
Lags can differ for increases and decreases and can change when coverage or inventory shifts. MassGain does not assume a stable causal relationship or guarantee future timing. It provides a documented framework for measuring historical delays, explaining structural reasons, and updating the expected pass-through window as contracts, crop periods, and market conditions change.
Use Case
A processor requests an immediate price increase after spot potatoes rise. MassGain shows the supplier’s contracted crop covers four more months and historical invoice changes occur about five months after the benchmark. Procurement defers the adjustment and establishes a review tied to the actual exposure date.
FAQs
What creates a potato price pass-through lag?
Contracts, inventory, crop timing, formula lags, review cycles, and finished-goods coverage delay price changes.
Can increases and decreases have different lags?
Yes. Commercial behavior, uncertainty, inventory, and contract structures can create asymmetric timing.
How does MassGain estimate the lag?
It compares matched benchmarks and invoices while accounting for contracts, coverage, product, plant, and pricing rules.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.