Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Price Survey Reliability
Potato price survey reliability measures whether a benchmark is both consistently calculated and representative of the intended physical market. MassGain combines contributor continuity, coverage, concentration, matching, revisions, timeliness, and external confirmation into a transparent confidence view.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato price-survey-reliability data evaluates contributor continuity, transaction eligibility, specification matching, sample coverage, concentration, timeliness, revisions, outlier treatment, and agreement with independent physical-market evidence. The market object is the benchmark's current evidentiary reliability.
Use the data to compare matched and balanced-panel results, test sensitivity to dominant observations, and assign confidence appropriate to the intended commercial use.
Data Module
Potato Price Survey Reliability
Market objectbenchmark evidence reliability
Primary measurescoverage, continuity, sensitivity
Key dimensionscontributors, products, periods, revisions
Commercial useconfidence and suitability assessment
Controlseligibility, timeliness, concentration
Compare withindependent physical signals
Analysis
Why this matters
Repeatable calculation does not guarantee representativeness. A mechanically stable survey can still be narrow, concentrated, or stale.
Commercial interpretation should combine methodological consistency with market coverage and independent confirmation, especially before using the result in contracts.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for analysts and market researchers assessing potato price survey reliability before a benchmark is used in procurement, contracts, forecasting, or public analysis. MassGain evaluates reliability across contributor continuity, transaction eligibility, specification matching, sample coverage, concentration, reporting timeliness, revision history, outlier treatment, and agreement with independent physical-market evidence.
It separates repeatability from representativeness: a survey can be calculated consistently yet still describe only one region, grade, or buyer segment. Researchers can compare current reliability with prior periods, identify whether a price move survives balanced-panel and matched-product tests, and see how sensitive the result is to one large contributor or unusual transaction.
The suite links survey outputs with shipments, storage withdrawals, processor intake, bids, offers, and later settlements to test whether the published signal behaves plausibly. MassGain does not certify a benchmark or promise full private-market coverage. It provides a transparent reliability scorecard and evidence trail so users can assign appropriate confidence, qualify thin observations, and avoid treating a mechanically precise number as a universally representative potato price.
Use Case
A weekly survey reports a sharp price increase. MassGain shows the calculation is correct, but one processor represents most eligible volume and two normal contributors are missing. The analyst publishes the move with a low-confidence qualification, retains the prior range for contract review, and waits for broader confirmation before changing the forecast.
FAQs
What makes a potato price survey reliable?
Stable methodology, eligible transactions, representative coverage, limited concentration, timely reporting, and reproducible controls support reliability.
Can a consistent survey still be unreliable?
Yes. A survey can be calculated consistently but remain too narrow or concentrated to represent the intended market.
How does MassGain test reliability?
It reviews coverage, contributor continuity, specification matching, sensitivity, revisions, and agreement with independent physical-market signals.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.