Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Processor Raw Material Coverage
Potato processor raw material coverage measures how much forecast plant demand is secured through usable contracts, inventory, committed deliveries, and qualified options. MassGain adjusts nominal tonnes for quality, recovery, timing, supplier reliability, and concentration so procurement teams can see the true specification-ready gap.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato-processor-raw-material-coverage data measures how much forecast plant demand is secured through usable contracts, inventory, committed deliveries, and qualified options. The market object is confidence-adjusted specification-ready supply by plant, product, variety, delivery period, and crop year.
Use the data to compare demand with contracted tonnes, storage quality, shipment status, recovery, supplier reliability, and alternate origins. Separate firm, flexible, contingency, and open requirements rather than relying on one network-wide coverage percentage.
Data Module
Potato Processor Raw Material Coverage
Market objectplant-specific secured raw supply
Primary measureconfidence-adjusted covered volume
Key dimensionsplant, product, variety, period
Commercial usecoverage and contingency planning
Risk factorsquality, timing, supplier concentration
Compare withdemand, recovery, alternate origins
Analysis
Why this matters
A processor can appear highly covered while still facing a specification gap if stored potatoes lose solids or contracted volume is concentrated in one vulnerable region. Nominal contract coverage and usable coverage can diverge.
Commercial interpretation should locate the open exposure by plant and product. Targeted options or transfers are usually more efficient than adding generic tonnes across the network.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for food processors, procurement leaders, plant planners, and risk teams that need potato processor raw material coverage. Coverage measures how much forecast raw-potato requirement is secured through contracts, owned inventory, committed deliveries, approved options, or other dependable sources for each plant and period.
MassGain maps demand by plant, product, variety, specification, delivery week, and crop year and compares it with supplier commitments, storage lots, shipment status, quality, yield assumptions, and approved alternate origins. Procurement can identify uncovered tonnes before they become emergency purchases. Operations can see whether nominal volume will produce enough finished output after solids and recovery. Finance can calculate open price and replacement-cost exposure. Risk teams can distinguish firm supply from optional, conditional, delayed, or quality-impaired tonnes.
A high coverage percentage can be misleading when supply is concentrated in one region, supplier, storage cohort, or contract with weak performance. MassGain does not guarantee delivery. It provides a transparent coverage ladder with confidence and concentration, showing core, flexible, contingency, and open requirements. This enables targeted contracting and contingency action without overbuying broadly.
Use Case
A frozen-fries processor reports 96% raw coverage for spring. MassGain removes storage lots whose solids have deteriorated, adjusts contracted tonnes for expected recovery, and shows one plant is only 82% covered for long-cut production. Procurement secures a specification-specific option rather than adding generic potatoes.
FAQs
What counts as secured raw-material coverage?
Firm contracts, usable inventory, confirmed deliveries, and enforceable options may count under defined confidence rules.
Why can volume coverage overstate protection?
Quality, yield, timing, concentration, delivery reliability, and plant compatibility can reduce usable coverage.
How does MassGain show open exposure?
It compares forecast requirements with confidence-adjusted supply by plant, week, product, and specification.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.