Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Producer Output Price Index
A potato producer output price index measures price movement across a defined basket of producer-level outputs. Finance and procurement teams can use its product, geography, weights, and base period to distinguish industry pricing from product mix, contracts, or raw-material exposure.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato producer output price index measures changes in prices received by producers for a defined basket of potato products or production activities. The market object should specify product coverage, geography, weights, base period, market stage, data source, and revision policy.
Use the index for broad producer-level inflation and pricing analysis while comparing it with regional raw-potato benchmarks, processor selling prices, product mix, and contract timing. Do not treat a producer output index as identical to a buyer's raw-material cost or one processor's realized selling price.
Data Module
Potato Producer Output Price Index
ObjectProducer-level price-change benchmark
DimensionsProduct basket, geography, market stage, period
MethodWeights, base period, sources, revisions
Commercial useInflation, margin, and historical comparison
ComparisonRaw potato and processor-specific prices
WatchpointProducer output index is not a buyer purchase price
Analysis
Why this matters
The index matters because it summarizes a basket whose product and channel mix may differ from any individual company's exposure. Frozen products can drive the headline while dehydrated or raw contracts remain comparatively stable.
Commercial interpretation should therefore inspect components and timing. A gap between the index and company prices can reflect mix, geography, contracts, or freight rather than commercial underperformance.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for processors, procurement teams, economists, finance leaders, and analysts that need to interpret a potato producer output price index. The index measures changes in the prices received by producers for a defined basket of potato products or production activities. MassGain helps users understand the product coverage, geography, weighting, base period, market stage, and revision policy behind the index before applying it to contracts, budgets, or performance analysis.
A producer output index can show broad selling-price movement, but it does not automatically represent one processor’s realized price or one buyer’s purchase cost. Product mix, customer channel, contract timing, freight, processing level, and quality can all create differences. MassGain allows users to compare the index with regional potato benchmarks, plant-level prices, trade data, and input-cost movement. This helps finance teams distinguish industry-wide pricing from company-specific commercial outcomes and helps procurement avoid applying an output-price measure to an unrelated raw-material exposure. The result is a transparent benchmark that supports inflation analysis, margin review, contract discussions, and historical comparison while preserving the distinction between producer selling prices and the underlying physical potato markets.
Use Case
A processor’s reported selling prices rise less than the producer output index. MassGain shows that the index is being driven by higher-value frozen products, while the company’s portfolio remains concentrated in fixed-price dehydrated contracts. Finance attributes the gap to product and contract mix rather than weak commercial execution.
FAQs
What does a potato producer output price index measure?
It measures price movement for a defined basket of producer-level potato products or activities.
Does the index equal a processor’s selling price?
Not necessarily. Product mix, customers, contracts, geography, and timing can create meaningful differences.
Why review the index components?
Component detail shows which products and markets drove the headline movement and whether they match the user’s exposure.
Put this market intelligence to work
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.