Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Production Forecast
A potato production forecast estimates future harvested and marketable output from acreage, weather, irrigation, yield, quality, and harvest timing. Mapping production by region and end use helps processors and lenders connect crop changes with contracts, demand, storage, and alternate supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato production forecast estimates future harvested and marketable production by combining acreage, crop development, weather, irrigation, yield, abandonment, variety, quality, and harvest timing. A useful forecast separates gross tonnes from the volume likely to meet fresh, processing, seed, or storage specifications.
Use the data regionally and by end use. Connecting production scenarios with contracts, processor demand, inventories, storage, and alternate supply shows where a seemingly normal national crop can still create plant-level or product-specific tightness.
Data Module
Production forecast context
Areaplanted and harvested acreage
Yieldexpected tonnes per acre
Crop conditionweather, irrigation, and development
Qualitysize, grade, solids, and defects
Regional outputusable production by basin and end use
Decision usesourcing, plant intake, storage, and finance
Analysis
Why this matters
Gross production is not the same as commercially usable supply. A region can harvest ample tonnes while quality, size, solids, or storage suitability reduce the volume available to a particular buyer or processing line.
That makes product and geography central to interpretation. A forecast revision should be translated through the actual sourcing footprint rather than applied uniformly to every plant, grower, or category.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, processors, packers, agricultural lenders, traders, and supply-chain planners that need a forward estimate of potato production. A potato production forecast combines planted and harvested acreage, crop development, weather, irrigation, expected yield, abandonment, variety, quality, harvest timing, and marketable recovery. MassGain’s potato data suite helps users separate gross tonnes from the volume likely to meet specific fresh, processing, seed, or storage requirements.
The forecast is most useful when it is regional and scenario-based. A national total may appear stable while one processing basin faces lower solids, delayed harvest, or weak storage suitability. MassGain connects production assumptions with regional prices, contract coverage, processor demand, inventories, and alternate supply, showing where the commercial consequences are concentrated.
The analysis supports plant intake, procurement coverage, storage planning, grower marketing, lending, and trade scenarios. MassGain does not replace official statistics, field scouting, or private crop reports. It provides a transparent market-intelligence framework that documents assumptions, compares current conditions with historical ranges, and allows users to update production and usable-supply estimates as new crop, quality, and harvest evidence arrives.
Use Case
A processor sees national production forecast near trend but MassGain shows lower marketable recovery in the basin supplying its largest plant. A second region is developing normally. Procurement reserves flexible supply from the stronger region, operations adjusts product mix, and finance revises only the exposed plant rather than raising the companywide cost forecast.
FAQs
What inputs drive a potato production forecast?
Acreage, weather, crop progress, irrigation, yield, abandonment, variety, quality, and harvest timing are central inputs.
Why distinguish gross from usable production?
Quality, size, solids, defects, location, and storage suitability determine commercially accessible supply.
How does MassGain make the forecast actionable?
It maps production scenarios to prices, contracts, plants, demand, inventories, and alternate regions.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.