Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Production Guarantee Per Acre
Potato production guarantee per acre puts insured output on a consistent acreage basis for comparing fields and units. MassGain connects approved yield and coverage with crop cost, expected marketable production, and contract tonnes so users can see whether financial protection matches the economics and delivery exposure of each acre.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato production-guarantee-per-acre data expresses insured production protection on a per-acre basis using approved yield, coverage percentage, insured acreage, practice, unit structure, and policy year. The market object is protected output per acre for a defined insured unit.
Use the data to compare fields and units consistently and to relate guaranteed production to expected marketable yield, crop cost, contract tonnes, and current crop conditions.
Data Module
Potato Production Guarantee per Acre
Market objectinsured production per acre
Primary measureguaranteed output per acre
Key dimensionsunit, practice, acreage, approved yield
Commercial usefield and coverage comparison
Risk contextyield history and coverage choice
Compare withexpected marketable yield and cost
Analysis
Why this matters
Two fields can carry the same coverage percentage yet have very different guaranteed production because approved yields differ. Per-acre normalization makes the protection comparable without hiding those histories.
Commercial interpretation should still compare the guarantee with crop cost and contract exposure because the protected tonnes may be insufficient for the economics of the acre.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement and market-intelligence teams, growers, processors, and agricultural lenders that need to calculate potato production guarantee per acre. The measure expresses insured production protection on a per-acre basis, making it easier to compare fields, units, regions, and coverage choices without confusing total farm scale with the strength of protection.
MassGain organizes approved yield, coverage percentage, insured acreage, practice, variety or type, unit structure, and policy year, then places the guaranteed amount beside expected marketable yield, production cost, contract tonnes, and current crop conditions. Procurement can identify where contracted acres have a large uninsured production gap. Growers can compare coverage across units. Lenders can stress revenue and collateral on a consistent acreage basis. Market intelligence can distinguish a low guarantee caused by conservative coverage from one caused by weak historical yield.
The per-acre guarantee does not account automatically for quality, basis, contract premiums, or replacement cost. MassGain does not determine official policy values or advise on insurance elections. It provides a transparent calculation and comparison layer that documents the source of every input and shows how protected output relates to the physical potato supply expected from each acre.
Use Case
A lender reviews two 400-acre potato units. Both carry the same coverage percentage, but one has a much lower approved yield. MassGain calculates guaranteed tonnes per acre and compares them with production budgets and processor commitments, revealing that the lower-history unit needs more working-capital cushion and less concentrated contract exposure.
FAQs
How is production guarantee per acre calculated?
Apply the policy coverage percentage to the approved yield for the defined insured unit and acre basis.
Why compare guarantees per acre?
It allows fields and units of different sizes to be compared on a consistent production-protection basis.
What does the measure omit?
Quality, price basis, costs, contract premiums, and physical replacement needs may remain outside it.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.