Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Production Value
Potato production value combines a defined quantity of production with the applicable producer or market price for a stated geography and crop year. MassGain compares the measure with acreage, yield, marketable output, prices, and cost conditions so analysts can distinguish value created by more tonnes from value created by higher prices.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato production value combines the quantity of potato production with the applicable producer or market price under a defined geography, crop year, and methodology. It is a gross economic measure rather than a direct measure of farm profit.
Use production value to separate changes caused by crop volume from those caused by price and product mix. Compare it with acreage, yield, marketable production, regional prices, and cost conditions before drawing conclusions about profitability or borrower strength.
Data Module
Production value context
Outputmarketable or defined production quantity
Price basisproducer or official value measure
Geographystate, region, or country
Crop yearperiod represented
Driversvolume, price, and product mix
Decision usesector sizing and revenue analysis
Analysis
Why this matters
Production value can rise during a smaller crop if prices increase enough, and it can fall during a large crop if market values weaken. The headline therefore says little about physical abundance by itself.
It also should not be treated as net income. Grower economics depend on seed, fertilizer, labor, water, storage, freight, quality, and contract terms. For lenders and analysts, the useful decomposition is gross value from volume versus gross value from price, followed by the cost structure needed to translate that into margin.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, processors, lenders, policymakers, and market analysts that need to understand the monetary value of potato production. Potato production value combines the quantity of marketable output with the price assigned to that production under a defined geography, crop year, market stage, and methodology. MassGain helps users separate changes caused by volume from changes caused by price.
A higher production value does not necessarily mean the sector produced more potatoes or became more profitable. Value can rise during a smaller crop if prices increase, while grower margins may still weaken because input, storage, or quality costs also rose. MassGain places production value beside acreage, yield, marketable production, farm prices, crop use, and historical trends. This supports regional economic analysis, borrower review, industry sizing, and strategic planning. Growers and lenders can also compare gross production value with expense and contract structures rather than treating the headline as net income. The result is a clearer understanding of whether value growth came from tonnes, price, product mix, or an exceptional market condition.
Use Case
A lender sees regional potato production value reach a record and assumes stronger farm repayment capacity. MassGain shows the gain came mainly from higher prices during a lower-yield crop, while storage and input expenses also increased. The bank keeps a conservative margin assumption instead of treating gross production value as profit.
FAQs
How is potato production value calculated?
It generally combines defined production quantity with an applicable producer or market price.
Can production value rise when output falls?
Yes. Higher prices or a richer product mix can offset lower volume.
How does MassGain interpret production value?
It separates volume, price, crop use, cost, and regional effects and compares them with history.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.