Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Starch Supply Forecast
Potato starch supply forecast data translates starch-potato acreage, yield, starch content, harvest quality, campaign length, extraction recovery, downtime, inventory, imports, and commitments into usable supply by region, plant, grade, and period. Procurement can see whether a projected shortfall originates in fields, quality, processing capacity, or trade.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato starch-supply forecast translates starch-potato acreage, yield, starch content, harvest quality, factory campaign length, extraction recovery, downtime, inventories, imports, and contracted commitments into commercially usable starch tonnes. The market object is forecast supply by region, plant, grade, and period.
Use the data to separate gross potato production from starch-equivalent output and, where evidence permits, food-grade, industrial, native, and modified availability. Update scenarios as harvest, campaign, inventory, and trade evidence improves.
Data Module
Potato Starch Supply Forecast
Market objectforecast usable starch supply
Primary measuresoutput range and available inventory
Key dimensionsregion, plant, grade, period
Commercial usecoverage and inventory planning
Supply driversacreage, starch content, recovery, campaigns
Compare withcontracts, imports, demand
Analysis
Why this matters
A larger potato crop can coexist with tight starch supply if acreage is directed to other uses, starch content is weak, or factory campaigns are constrained. Gross tonnes and starch-equivalent output are different signals.
Commercial interpretation should identify which layer creates the shortfall—field, quality, plant, inventory, or trade—so contingency action targets the actual bottleneck.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
Food processors, starch manufacturers, procurement teams, and planners need a potato starch supply forecast that translates crop and factory information into commercially usable tonnes. Potential supply depends on starch-potato acreage, yield, starch content, harvest quality, factory campaign length, extraction recovery, downtime, inventories, imports, and competing commitments.
MassGain builds regional and plant-level scenarios using planted and harvested area, crop progress, weather, contract coverage, historical recovery, energy constraints, maintenance, and announced capacity. The forecast separates gross potato production from starch-equivalent output and then distinguishes food-grade, industrial, native, and modified availability where evidence permits. Procurement can identify future coverage gaps. Plants can plan campaigns and inventory. Finance can test high-, base-, and low-supply cases and the likely effect on working capital and prices.
The forecast is probabilistic and is revised as harvest, factory, and trade evidence improves. MassGain does not guarantee production or supplier performance. It provides transparent assumptions, confidence, and source lineage so users can see whether a projected shortage comes from fields, starch content, processing capacity, quality, or trade. That supports earlier contracting and more targeted contingency planning.
Use Case
A food manufacturer expects ample starch because potato production is forecast higher. MassGain shows starch-potato acreage is flat, average starch content is lower, and one factory has planned maintenance. The company raises safety stock for food-grade native starch while leaving industrial coverage unchanged.
FAQs
What inputs drive a potato starch supply forecast?
Acreage, yield, starch content, quality, factory campaigns, recovery, downtime, inventories, imports, and contracts matter.
Why can a large potato crop still produce tight starch supply?
Crop use, starch content, plant capacity, quality, and contracted commitments may limit starch output.
How does MassGain present uncertainty?
It documents assumptions and revisions and provides regional base, high, and low scenarios.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.