Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Storage Drawdown Rate
Potato storage drawdown rate measures the pace at which stored potatoes leave inventory over time. MassGain connects withdrawals with processor intake, fresh-market shipments, quality deterioration, contracts, prices, and seasonal norms so users can see whether stocks are being consumed unusually quickly or simply following the normal crop cycle.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato storage-drawdown-rate data measures how quickly stored inventory leaves a defined pool through verified withdrawals or disappearance relative to beginning stocks. The market object is the storage cohort or region segmented by variety, crop use, owner, quality, and contract status.
Use the data to compare actual depletion with seasonal norms and to separate customer demand from internal transfers, shrink, spoilage, disposal, or reclassification. Connect drawdown with processor intake, fresh shipments, storage age, and remaining quality.
Data Module
Potato Storage Drawdown Rate
Market objectstored inventory depletion
Primary measureverified withdrawals versus stocks
Key dimensionsfacility, region, variety, period
Commercial useavailability and storage planning
Reconciliationtransfers, shrink, spoilage, disposal
Compare withdemand, quality, seasonal norms
Analysis
Why this matters
A rapidly falling warehouse balance can create a false demand signal if inventory was transferred or discarded rather than sold. The denominator also matters: a small beginning stock can produce a high drawdown rate with ordinary shipments.
Commercial interpretation should reconcile every pathway out of inventory. True customer or processor withdrawal against shrinking merchantable stocks is the signal most relevant to late-season replacement risk.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for distributors, wholesalers, storage operators, processors, and procurement teams that need to measure how quickly stored potato inventory is being depleted. The storage drawdown rate compares withdrawals or disappearance with beginning stocks over a defined interval and helps users estimate whether inventory is being consumed faster or slower than seasonal norms.
MassGain can calculate drawdown by facility, region, variety, crop use, owner, quality cohort, and contract status. It links releases with processor intake, wholesale shipments, shrink, spoilage, transfers, and reclassification so physical consumption is not confused with bookkeeping movement. Storage operators can plan capacity and condition management. Procurement can identify when later-season coverage may tighten. Distributors can align releases with customer demand. Finance can forecast carrying cost and collateral value.
A high drawdown rate may reflect strong demand, early contract delivery, quality-driven liquidation, or a small starting inventory. A low rate may indicate weak sales, deliberate holding, blocked logistics, or deteriorating product that cannot move. MassGain does not treat one percentage as a price forecast. It provides the denominator, quality, destination, and historical context needed to translate drawdown into a defensible view of remaining usable stocks and replacement risk.
Use Case
A distributor’s storage inventory is falling twice as fast as normal. MassGain shows one third of the movement is transfer to another company facility and another portion is quality-driven disposal. After reconciliation, true customer drawdown is only modestly elevated, preventing an unnecessary price escalation.
FAQs
How is potato storage drawdown calculated?
It compares verified inventory withdrawals or disappearance with beginning stocks over a defined period.
Why must transfers and losses be separated?
They reduce one location’s inventory without representing customer consumption or market demand.
How does MassGain interpret the rate?
It links drawdown with quality, contracts, shipments, processing, shrink, storage age, and seasonal history.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.