Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Supplier Lead Time Variability
Potato supplier lead time variability measures the distribution of delivery time around promised or expected lead time. Procurement teams can compare average, dispersion, and late-tail risk by supplier and lane and set buffers based on actual reliability.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato supplier-lead-time-variability data measures the spread between requested, confirmed, shipped, and received dates for potato orders or nominations. The market object is delivery performance by supplier, origin, product, lane, season, and order type.
Use the data to calculate typical lead time, dispersion, and late-tail risk and to set inventory buffers according to actual reliability. Separate seasonal harvest, border, or weather effects from supplier-specific execution.
Data Module
Potato Supplier Lead Time Variability
Market objectsupplier delivery-time distribution
Primary measuresaverage, dispersion, late tail
Key dimensionssupplier, origin, lane, season
Commercial usebuffer and supplier-allocation planning
Driverscrop timing, logistics, storage, execution
Compare withpromised dates and service impact
Analysis
Why this matters
Two suppliers can share the same average lead time while creating very different operating risk if one is consistent and the other has severe late outliers. The tail matters more than the mean for outage-sensitive supply.
Commercial interpretation should separate market-wide seasonal delay from preventable supplier variability before changing inventory or allocation policy.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, operations, distributors, and supplier-management teams that need to measure potato supplier lead-time variability. Variability describes how much actual time from order, nomination, or release to delivery changes around the expected lead time. MassGain helps users understand whether the variation comes from crop conditions, storage, production, transport, documentation, or supplier execution.
The suite can compare requested, confirmed, shipped, and received dates by supplier, origin, product, lane, season, and order type. Procurement can calculate average lead time, dispersion, late-tail risk, and reliability by delivery window. Operations can set inventory buffers according to real variation rather than one average. Distributors can identify lanes or formats that create instability. Finance can quantify safety-stock, premium-freight, and service costs.
A supplier with a competitive average may still create serious risk if a small share of orders arrive extremely late. Seasonal harvest or border effects should also be separated from preventable performance. MassGain does not guarantee delivery. It provides a market-aware scorecard that links lead-time behavior with physical supply, logistics, contracts, and downstream consequences so teams can design better buffers and allocation rules.
Use Case
A processor sees two suppliers average eight-day delivery. MassGain shows Supplier A consistently arrives in seven to nine days, while Supplier B ranges from four to eighteen because of storage release and carrier problems. Procurement gives Supplier A more critical volume and uses Supplier B for flexible coverage.
FAQs
What is supplier lead-time variability?
It is the spread in actual delivery time around the expected or promised lead time.
Why is the average insufficient?
Rare but severe delays can drive outages, safety stock, premium freight, and customer-service risk.
How does MassGain explain variability?
It links order milestones with suppliers, origins, lanes, crop timing, storage, logistics, and reason codes.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.