Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Supplier Margin Analysis
Potato supplier margin analysis estimates the commercial spread between finished-product pricing and observable cost drivers without claiming access to private supplier profit. MassGain tracks matched potato benchmarks and historical spreads so procurement can identify persistent changes that remain unexplained after freight, storage, service, and timing are considered.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato supplier margin analysis estimates the commercial spread between the finished-product price and observable cost drivers without claiming access to the supplier's private profit statement. Relevant external inputs include regional potatoes, freight, storage, and contract timing, while conversion and service must be treated separately.
MassGain provides the independent raw-potato and market context needed to track whether the spread widens or narrows relative to history. Procurement can use that evidence to investigate unexplained persistence after commodity or freight pressure has eased.
Data Module
Supplier margin context
Finished pricedelivered supplier charge
Potato inputmatched regional benchmark
Documented costsfreight, packaging, and other known layers
Historical spreadprice versus observable inputs
Service premiumvalue from quality, capacity, and resilience
Decision useQBR, negotiation, and formula design
Analysis
Why this matters
A wider spread does not automatically mean excessive margin. Dedicated capacity, strong fill rates, specialized specifications, and risk absorption can justify a premium, while product mix or contract timing can also change observed economics.
MassGain helps identify when the spread change is unexplained by market inputs. The analytical goal is not to infer exact profit, but to ask whether the commercial premium remains proportional to documented value and risk.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for QSR and restaurant procurement teams that need to evaluate whether a potato supplier’s commercial margin is reasonable relative to the value, risk, and service being provided. Potato supplier margin analysis does not require knowing the supplier’s confidential profit statement. Instead, it builds a market-informed bridge between the finished-product price and observable cost drivers such as regional potatoes, processing inputs, packaging, storage, freight, product yield, and contract timing. MassGain’s potato data suite supplies the independent raw-material benchmarks and physical-market context required to make that bridge credible.
The analysis helps buyers distinguish legitimate margin protection from unsupported expansion. A supplier may deserve a premium for dedicated capacity, strong fill rates, specialized specifications, or absorbing volatile input risk. Conversely, a finished-product price may remain elevated after regional potato markets, freight, or temporary surcharges have eased. MassGain lets procurement compare supplier price movement with the relevant market exposure, historical spreads, and alternative plants without assuming every difference represents excess profit.
This supports renewals, tenders, quarterly business reviews, should-cost models, and negotiations over conversion fees or indexed pricing. Procurement can evaluate margin as one component of total value alongside quality, continuity, flexibility, and service. MassGain does not disclose private supplier economics or prescribe an acceptable profit level. It provides an evidence-based framework for identifying unexplained spread changes, asking sharper questions, and designing pricing mechanisms that protect both efficient suppliers and restaurant buyers.
Use Case
A restaurant group sees one fry supplier’s case price remain flat while the matched potato benchmark and outbound freight decline. MassGain shows that quality and fill-rate performance remain strong, but the supplier’s finished-price spread has widened materially beyond its historical range. Procurement uses the analysis to negotiate a partial reset, preserves a smaller service premium, and replaces the old fixed price with a formula that separates raw potatoes, freight, and conversion.
FAQs
Can buyers calculate a supplier’s exact margin from public data?
Usually not; margin analysis estimates unexplained commercial spread using matched market benchmarks and documented cost components.
When can a higher supplier margin be justified?
Dedicated capacity, specialized products, superior service, risk absorption, flexibility, and consistent quality may support a commercial premium.
How does MassGain support margin analysis?
It compares supplier price movement with regional potatoes, historical spreads, crop conditions, freight, storage, and relevant contract timing.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.