Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Supply Forecast
A potato supply forecast estimates how much commercially usable volume may be available, where it will be located, and when it can reach buyers. MassGain organizes acreage, crop development, weather, yield, harvest, storage, quality, regional flows, demand, and contract coverage into scenarios that expose vulnerable delivery windows early.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato supply forecast estimates how much commercially usable potato volume may be available, where it will be located, and when it can reach buyers. Core inputs include acreage, crop development, weather, yield, harvest progress, storage inventory, quality, variety mix, regional flows, demand, and contract coverage.
MassGain organizes those signals into scenario ranges with historical and price context. Growers, processors, distributors, and procurement teams can identify exposed delivery windows, compare alternate regions, and update sourcing or storage plans as field and market evidence changes.
Data Module
Potato supply forecast context
Acreageplanted and harvestable area
Crop developmentweather, progress, and yield potential
Harvesttiming and incoming commercial volume
Storagecarryover, quality, and usable inventory
Demand coveragecontracts and expected market pull
Regional balancesurplus, deficit, and alternate supply
Analysis
Why this matters
A national supply total can conceal the commercial shortages that matter most. Volume may be plentiful overall but tight for a particular region, variety, size, quality, or delivery window. Conversely, a localized crop problem may be manageable if substitutes and freight are available.
A useful forecast therefore models usable supply rather than aggregate production alone. MassGain helps combine agronomic expectations with storage, regional flows, prices, and demand so users can see where the balance is actually vulnerable. Scenario updates should follow new evidence rather than remain fixed through the season. The decision value lies in identifying when and where coverage becomes uncertain early enough to preserve sourcing options.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 10, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato prices quiet at $30/cwt as regional harvest damage buzzes beneath the surface
Market indicators are stable, but reporting from Europe and select growing areas shows real, localized crop stress — a reminder that steady headline prices can mask uneven physical risk.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This is for growers, packers, processors, distributors, and procurement teams that need to anticipate how much potato supply will be commercially available, where it will be located, and when it is likely to reach the market. A potato supply forecast brings together planted acreage, crop development, weather, yield expectations, harvest progress, storage inventories, quality, regional flows, and demand coverage. MassGain’s potato data suite turns those separate signals into an organized planning view so teams can evaluate availability before shortages or surpluses become obvious in spot prices.
For growers, the forecast supports planting, harvest timing, storage, and sales decisions. Buyers can use it to test contract coverage, identify exposed delivery periods, and compare alternate sourcing regions. The suite also preserves historical context: the same acreage or yield number may have different implications depending on inventories, crop timing, variety mix, and processor demand. Scenario ranges help users distinguish a manageable local delay from a broader supply deficit.
This intelligence supports procurement budgets, logistics planning, plant scheduling, customer commitments, and contingency sourcing. Teams can revise assumptions as weather and harvest evidence develop rather than relying on one fixed seasonal estimate. MassGain does not replace field scouting, supplier communication, or internal inventory data. It provides an independent market framework that connects those inputs, highlights uncertainty, and helps supply-chain teams act earlier when the balance between expected supply and required volume begins to change.
Use Case
A regional processor enters the growing season with 85% of expected needs contracted but is unsure whether open-market volume will cover the remaining requirement. MassGain combines acreage, planting progress, weather, historical yield, storage carryover, and neighboring-region supply into three scenarios. The tight case reveals a six-week exposure during crop transition. Procurement secures a flexible supplemental agreement for that window, leaves later volume open, and updates the plan as field reports improve rather than paying a scarcity premium across the entire season.
FAQs
What inputs belong in a potato supply forecast?
Acreage, crop progress, weather, yield, harvest timing, inventories, quality, regional movement, demand, and contract coverage are core inputs.
How often should the forecast be updated?
It should be refreshed whenever material planting, weather, crop-condition, harvest, storage, or demand information changes.
Can a national supply forecast guide a local purchase?
Only partly; buyers should also examine the specific region, variety, quality, freight lane, and delivery window relevant to the purchase.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.