Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Surplus by Country
Potato surplus by country estimates the supply remaining after domestic demand and required stocks are accounted for, then qualifies it for product fit, quality, location, contracts, storage, and export capability. MassGain helps procurement teams distinguish headline excess from tonnes that are actually usable and movable.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato surplus-by-country data estimates the portion of national supply remaining after domestic fresh use, processing, seed, feed, losses, exports, and desired ending stocks are considered. The market object is potential excess supply qualified by product, variety, quality, location, storage, contract status, and export capability.
Use the data to screen alternate origins during shortage conditions and then narrow headline surplus to tonnes that are specification-ready, movable, timely, and economically reachable. Compare export infrastructure, policy, freight, and actual offers before counting the volume as contingency coverage.
Data Module
Potato Surplus by Country
Market objectqualified national excess supply
Primary measuresurplus after domestic use
Key dimensionscountry, product, quality, season
Commercial usealternate-origin screening
Availability filterscontract, storage, logistics, policy
Compare withexport offers and landed replacement cost
Analysis
Why this matters
National surplus and exportable surplus are different. A country can show substantial excess on paper while most tonnes are table stock, remote from export corridors, committed, or unsuitable for the buyer's process.
Commercial interpretation should move from balance-sheet surplus to feasible replacement volume. Only the latter should influence procurement coverage or international price expectations.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement and market-intelligence teams that need to compare potato surplus across countries. A surplus is the portion of supply remaining after domestic demand, processing, seed, feed, expected losses, and required stocks are considered, but only part of that volume may be exportable, commercially available, or suitable for the buyer’s product.
MassGain builds country-level balances and then qualifies the apparent surplus by variety, grade, quality, location, storage, season, contract status, export infrastructure, policy, and freight. Procurement can identify realistic alternate origins during a regional shortage. Processors can see whether foreign tonnes match plant specifications. Analysts can distinguish structural exporting countries from one-year excess caused by an unusual crop or weak domestic demand. Finance can calculate landed and timing-adjusted replacement cost.
A national surplus is not a standing offer and can disappear through quality loss, government action, currency, or faster local use. MassGain does not guarantee availability or recommend trade. It provides a transparent screening framework that moves from balance-sheet excess to verified exportable and usable supply, preventing teams from counting inaccessible tonnes as contingency coverage.
Use Case
A processor identifies a 400,000-tonne surplus in a neighboring country. MassGain shows most volume is table stock, remote from export corridors, and committed to domestic storage programs. Only 35,000 tonnes meet processing specifications and delivery timing, giving procurement a realistic rather than headline alternative.
FAQs
What is a potato surplus by country?
It is supply exceeding defined domestic uses and required ending stocks within a national balance.
Does national surplus equal export availability?
No. Quality, product fit, contracts, logistics, policy, and timing can sharply reduce usable volume.
How does MassGain qualify surplus?
It connects the balance with specifications, storage, location, trade capacity, freight, and current offers.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.