Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Temperature Excursion Claims
Potato temperature excursion claims connect a shipment with calibrated temperature records, permitted range, duration, location, custody, inspection, and disposition. Quality and procurement teams can separate the thermal event from actual product damage and quantify only the supported downgrade, rework, rejection, or replacement exposure.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato temperature-excursion-claim data links a fresh, seed, chilled, frozen, or processed potato shipment with calibrated temperature records, set point, permitted range, duration, location, custody, door events, reefer operation, inspection, and disposition. The market object is the documented excursion and its product-specific consequence.
Use the data to reconstruct the timeline, test whether the excursion plausibly affected quality or shelf life, and quantify downgrade, rework, rejection, or replacement. Keep sensor evidence, product-core condition, and commercial loss separate until causation is supported.
Data Module
Potato Temperature Excursion Claims
Market objecttemperature-affected shipment
Primary measuresmagnitude, duration, product response
Key dimensionsproduct form, sensor, custody, location
Commercial useclaim and disposition analysis
Evidence contextcalibration, inspection, chain of custody
Compare withtolerance, replacement cost, usable condition
Analysis
Why this matters
A temperature alarm does not prove product damage, and a defect at receipt does not by itself prove the carrier caused it. Frozen fries, fresh potatoes, and seed have different thermal tolerances and failure modes.
Commercial interpretation should establish both the physical event and the economic consequence. Accept, discount, rework, or reject decisions should follow evidence about actual product condition rather than the alarm alone.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, quality, logistics, and claims teams that need to evaluate potato temperature excursion claims. An excursion occurs when fresh potatoes, seed, chilled products, frozen fries, or other potato goods move outside the agreed temperature range for a defined duration. MassGain helps users connect sensor evidence with product condition, custody, contract terms, and commercial loss.
The suite can organize set point, permitted range, timestamp, duration, location, sensor ID, calibration, door events, reefer operation, ambient weather, handoffs, inspection, and disposition. Quality teams can determine whether the excursion plausibly affected safety, seed performance, texture, color, sprouting, or shelf life. Procurement can distinguish supplier, carrier, warehouse, and receiver responsibility. Finance can quantify downgrade, rejection, rework, replacement, and lost sales.
A temperature alarm does not automatically prove damage, and a product defect does not by itself prove a transit excursion. MassGain does not make legal or food-safety determinations. It provides the traceable evidence framework needed to validate the timeline, compare readings with product-specific tolerances, preserve chain of custody, and resolve claims using documented physical and market consequences.
Use Case
A frozen-fry load arrives with a recorder showing two hours above the contract threshold. MassGain verifies sensor calibration, maps the excursion to a loading delay, compares product-core temperature and inspection results, and shows the goods remained usable. The buyer accepts the load with documented evidence instead of rejecting it automatically.
FAQs
What evidence supports a temperature excursion claim?
Calibrated sensor data, timestamps, custody records, set points, inspections, and product-specific tolerances are important.
Does every excursion damage potatoes?
No. Duration, magnitude, product form, packaging, core temperature, and subsequent condition determine likely impact.
How does MassGain assign commercial impact?
It links the event with quality, shelf life, disposition, contracts, replacement cost, and responsible custody stage.
Put this market intelligence to work
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.