Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Tender Prices
Potato tender prices are supplier bids for a defined sourcing event whose economics extend beyond the headline price. MassGain normalizes product, volume, plant, freight, capacity, service, quality, and escalators and tests raw-potato assumptions against matched physical markets for like-for-like award analysis.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato tender prices are supplier bids submitted for a defined sourcing event and should be compared only after product, quality, volume, plant, region, delivery schedule, freight, capacity, payment terms, escalators, and service are normalized. The market object is the complete commercial offer, not the headline case or ton price.
Use tender data to build a like-for-like delivered-cost comparison and test each bid against matched potato-market assumptions. Separate raw potatoes, conversion, packaging, freight, service, and risk-transfer terms so procurement can see where apparent savings or premiums originate.
Data Module
Potato Tender Prices
ObjectComparable supplier bids for a sourcing event
DimensionsProduct, volume, plant, region, timing
Cost layersPotato, conversion, packaging, freight, service
Commercial useAward and scenario comparison
Risk factorsCapacity, escalators, quality, payment terms
WatchpointLowest headline bid may not be lowest total cost
Analysis
Why this matters
Tender prices matter because suppliers can reach similar headline numbers through very different assumptions and risk allocations. A low opening bid can become expensive if freight, capacity, or escalation terms shift future volatility back to the buyer.
The strongest analysis tests bids under matched crop and demand scenarios. Price, resilience, and specification fit can diverge, so award decisions should compare total delivered value rather than rank bids mechanically.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement teams, processors, growers, distributors, and commercial analysts that need to benchmark potato tender prices. Tender prices are bids submitted under a defined sourcing event and can reflect volume, quality, region, contract duration, delivery schedule, freight, capacity commitments, payment terms, and risk allocation. MassGain helps users normalize these elements before comparing the headline price.
The lowest tender bid may not create the lowest total cost. A supplier can rely on an optimistic potato assumption, exclude logistics, offer limited capacity, or propose an escalator that shifts future volatility to the buyer. MassGain maps each bid to the relevant physical market, tests raw-potato assumptions against regional benchmarks, and separates conversion, packaging, freight, service, and commercial terms. Scenario analysis shows how offers behave under tight and easing crops, while historical comparisons reveal whether premiums are consistent with supplier resilience or unexplained. Procurement can create a defensible award recommendation, finance can validate expected savings, and operations can understand continuity tradeoffs. MassGain does not verify private capacity claims or choose the winner. It supplies the independent market and cost framework needed to compare tender prices on like-for-like delivered value.
Use Case
A restaurant group receives three frozen-potato tender bids. MassGain normalizes plant locations, freight, specifications, escalators, and regional potato exposure. The apparent low bid becomes most expensive in a moderate tight-crop scenario, so procurement divides the award between a transparent core supplier and a flexible secondary source.
FAQs
What should be normalized in potato tender prices?
Product, volume, plant, region, timing, freight, service, capacity, escalators, and contract terms should be aligned.
Should the lowest tender price always win?
No. Total delivered cost, quality, resilience, service, and future pricing behavior may outweigh the opening bid.
How does MassGain support tender evaluation?
It links each offer with matched market benchmarks, scenario costs, supplier exposure, and operational tradeoffs.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.